Future of Europe

Brexit talk is pushing the City of London closer to Frankfurt

What happens if eventually the EMU gets fixed? Will the smart money of the City of London let it sail away? Unlikely. The ECB is already powerful.

Careful about making Russia the enemy

Can a country like Russia really be an enemy for the EU, for the European members of NATO and the US? The answer seems negative.

The euro: an orphan who no longer needs his parents?

If the Euro / Eurozone wants to have an integrated financial market it will need to create a large sovereign to stabilise the system.

The plot against Europe

Are we in the midst of a plot against Europe, à la Philip Roth? Imagine Presidents Trump in Washington, Le Pen in Paris and Putin in Moscow.

Ukraine, Russia and the sanctions: ‘the good, the bad and the ugly’

The end seems in sight for the economic sanctions against Russia. For the EU, it seems to be the case that Russia is no longer that bad.

An odd Dutch referendum on the Ukraine: another European crisis on the horizon?

The EU-Turkey Agreement: a turning point in the EU’s policy approach to the refugee crisis but with the devil lurking in the detail

The EU-Turkey agreement is a far cry from Angela Merkel’s open borders policy of the summer of 2015.

Brexit: possible political disasters

It is commonplace to talk more about the economic impact, but a British exit from the EU (so-called Brexit) could lead to a variety of political disasters.