Ukraine: the peace hiding behind the ceasefire
If consolidating a ceasefire in the eastern Ukraine will be difficult, making peace will be even more so.
International Security
The interplay between terrorism, insurgency, and civil war in the Middle East
Terrorist groups are generally distinguished from guerrilla organisations, but this distinction is gradually disappearing as a growing number of terrorist groups adopt guerrilla tactics.
Charlie Hebdo: more questions than (provisional) answers
Why the attack on the offices of Charlie Hebdo in France? Al-Qaeda or the IS? Will there be more attacks? Will the attacks reinforce far-right extremism?
Serbia’s OSCE chairmanship: back to the future
Serbia will hold the chairmanship of the Organisation for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) for 2015.
The coming proliferation: home-printed guns
The threat of a coming proliferation of light-weight guns is something about the states and the international community can do little, but some sort of response will certainly become necessary.
Belgrade at the crossroads: Serbian-Russian relations in light of the Ukraine crisis
Despite having recently initiated negotiations to join the EU, Serbia has declared itself neutral concerning EU sanctions against Russia over the Ukraine crisis. This paper looks at Serbia’s somewhat ambiguous position between the EU and Russia.
Israel-Palestine: time is running out and religion is no help
the fact that the religious issue has come to the fore in Israel and Palestine makes it increasingly difficult to implement the two-State solution.
Islamic State: terrorism and insurgency
The Islamic State (IS) is a practitioner of terrorism even more terrible than al-Qaeda as it has recently amply demonstrated. It is also an insurgent movement and an army, and unless that is understood the strategy carried out by the US will fail.
The European Union’s role in the fight against ISIS
Before formulating any response to the ISIS challenge, the European Union must carefully assess the nature of the risk to European security interests.
To sit and to be on the Security Council
Periodically, Spain gears itself for the enormous effort to get itself elected by the UN General Assembly a non-permanent member of the Security Council for two years.
What did NATO promise Gorbachev?
Some in Russia maintain that the West promised there would be no NATO expansion eastwards, even towards what was soon to be the former German Democratic Republic (GDR), in exchange for accepting German unification. The West, particularly the US, maintains there was no such commitment. Which is true?
NATO: fronts, frontiers and vectors
NATO can choose between building either bridges or borders, but it cannot ignore the vectors. Does it know what it wants? Does it want what it knows? Do its members, who have been cutting their military expenditure as a result of the crisis, know what they want, even if they agree on calling for an increase?