Somalia: From Stateless Order to Talibanisation? (ARI)
The withdrawal of the Ethiopian troops by the end of January 2009 puts an end to foreign intervention in Somalia.
International Security
France and NATO or How to Build a European Defence (ARI)
France will probably announce its reintegration into the NATO’s military command at the coming NATO summit of Strasbourg-Kehl, 3-4 April 2009.
The Evolving Threat from Jihadist Terrorism in Turkey (ARI)
If the trend towards the integration of Turkish Jihadists into larger transnational networks continues, the threat from Jihadist terrorism is likely to grow in Turkey and in countries in which there are sizable Turkish diaspora communities.
Targeting Energy Infrastructure: Examining the Terrorist Threat in North Africa and its Broader Implications (ARI)
This paper analyses the terrorist threats to energy infrastructures in North Africa –with a specific focus on events in the Sudan and Algeria, where oil and gas resources have been targeted–, at the statements made by al-Qaeda in this regard and at the protection strategies which are needed.
Indo-Pakistani Relations After 26/11 (ARI)
The author examines the prospects for Indo-Pakistani relations after the 26-29 November 2008 terrorist attack in Mumbai.
Hamas, Al-Qaeda and the Islamisation of the Palestinian Cause (ARI)
Under Hamas’s rule, a radical Islamic entity has been established in Gaza, opposed to the national-secular Fatah movement, and pro al-Qaeda groups have started to emerge and carry out attacks against western targets in the Strip.
Somali Piracy: A Dangerous Internal and External Threat (ARI)
The recent dramatic increase in the successes of Somali pirates has resulted in international calls for tightened security in the Gulf of Aden. However, the problem cannot be solved through securitised measures alone and a greater emphasis must be placed on building a legitimate government inside Somalia to effectively manage the problem.
Chaos, International Terrorism and Beyond: A Strategic Prognosis(ARI)
During the historical interval from 1989 to 2001, the nature of the enemy has changed. Previously, the enemy was known, stable and familiar. Today the enemy is evasive, strange and incomprehensible –but just as dangerous, if not more so–.
The Threat of Jihadist Terrorism in Germany (ARI)
German internal security is threatened by three distinct terrorist phenomena: organised Jihadists, independent Jihadists and the new Internationalists.
After the Madrid Bombings: Internal Security Reforms and the Prevention of Global Terrorism in Spain
At the time of the Madrid bombings on 11 March 2004, Spain was equipped with well-developed internal security structures that were highly efficient in the fight against terrorism. However, they were not as well adapted to dealing with the challenges of terrorism related to al-Qaeda.
The Coming NATO Nuclear Debate (ARI)
This paper analyses NATO’s current nuclear position, the arguments for and against withdrawal, and the need for a calm process of behind-the-doors consultations on this issue, with an open mind and with no taboos. Otherwise, NATO could generate a new controversy between Member States and put at risk the credibility of its nuclear deterrence.
Suicide Attacks in Algeria: Al-Qaeda in the Land of the Islamic Maghreb (AQLIM) (ARI)
Algeria has been confronted by 17 suicide attacks over a period of 16 months. Despite the devastation of these attacks, it is also clear that the Salafist Group of Combat and Preaching (GSPC)/Al-Qaeda in the Land of Islamic Maghreb (AQLIM) grows in its sophistication, possibly to increasingly market itself as al-Qaeda’s representative in the region.
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