The analyses are short pieces -of around 3,000 words- on aspects of current international affairs considered to be of relevance to Spain, its foreign policy or its security. In broad terms ARIs are intended to have a predictive bearing on events.

Western Sahara: can a Trump tweet lead to unlocking the stalemate?

Haizam Amirah-Fernández and Isabelle Werenfels. ARI 43/2021 - 07/04/2021.

The outgoing US President Donald Trump recognised Morocco’s sovereignty over the disputed Western Sahara in exchange for Morocco normalising relations with Israel. The new Biden Administration still has to make an unequivocal statement defining its position on the conflict. Meanwhile, several scenarios, risks and opportunities arise.

Quo Vadis, Bitcoin?

Judith Arnal Martín, María Eugenia Menéndez-Morán and Javier Muñoz Moldes. ARI 41/2021 - 05/04/2021.

This analysis focuses on the increasing relevance of crypto-assets, providing a simple taxonomy and explaining the conceptual framework and current reality. It then introduces the regulatory and supervisory responses undertaken by public authorities.

Rekindling the Agenda on Women, Peace and Security: can the EU lead by example?

Jessica Almqvist. ARI 36/2021 - 23/3/2021.

The terrain of war and peace is not gender neutral.

The European Recovery Plan: the figures for Spain

Enrique Feás & Federico Steinberg. ARI 35/2021 (English version) - 22/3/2021.

The shape of the European Recovery Fund is becoming clearer. This analysis looks at the figures for Spain.

Towards a new technology foreign policy line in Spain and the EU

Raquel Jorge Ricart. ARI 34/2021 (English version) - 17/3/2021.

The coordinated management of challenges and opportunities derived from digitisation and from emerging and disruptive technologies paves the way for an innovative adaptation of Spain to the new multilateralism’s conditions and needs and should also serve to update the much-needed anticipation and future scenario techniques driven by foresight exercises.