Analyses of the Elcano Royal Institute (ARI)

The analyses are short pieces -of around 3,000 words- on aspects of current international affairs considered to be of relevance to Spain, its foreign policy or its security. In broad terms ARIs are intended to have a predictive bearing on events.


Why Spain would like a ‘soft’ Brexit for the UK

William Chislett. ARI 27/2017 - 29/3/2017.

Spain has good reasons for wanting the best possible relationship between Britain and the EU as a result of Brexit, but it cannot allow the UK to be better off outside the EU than inside it.


The euro as a social bond: why do Eurozone citizens still back the single currency?

Miguel Otero-Iglesias. ARI 25/2017 - 27/3/2017.

This paper tries to understand why despite the pain in the South of the Eurozone and the anger in the North the majority of the people still support the euro.


One year on: an assessment of the EU-Turkey statement on refugees

İlke Toygür and Bianca Benvenuti. ARI 21/2017 - 21/3/2017.

An honest assessment of the refugee deal is very much needed since the EU is considering new ones with other transit countries. Both Turkey and key EU countries are facing electoral challenges as well: internal politics and foreign policy decisions are highly interwoven.


Reasons for rejecting globalisation: beyond inequality and xenophobia

Miguel Otero-Iglesias and Federico Steinberg. ARI 20/2017 (English version) - 14/3/2017.

The authors analyse reasons accounting for the growing discontent with globalisation and the liberal establishment in advanced democracies.


The 2016 parliamentary elections in Morocco: context and interpretations

Bernabé López García and Miguel Hernando de Larramendi. ARI 17/2017 - 9/3/2017.

On 7 October 2016 the Justice and Development Party revalidated its victory in the Moroccan parliamentary elections.