Analyses of the Elcano Royal Institute (ARI)

The analyses are short pieces -of around 3,000 words- on aspects of current international affairs considered to be of relevance to Spain, its foreign policy or its security. In broad terms ARIs are intended to have a predictive bearing on events.


Energy and the climate in 2017: limited volatility, climate implementation and political uncertainty

Gonzalo Escribano and Lara Lázaro. ARI 42/2017 (English version) - 23/5/2017.

The main factors likely to shape the energy and climate fields in 2017 are: a relatively contained volatility in the prices of oil and the implementation of increasingly ambitious climate policies in a context of political uncertainty.


What does NATO need to ‘project stability’ in its neighbourhood?

Rubén Díaz-Plaja. ARI 40/2017 - 18/5/2017.

At NATO’s Warsaw Summit in 2016, allied leaders announced not only major changes to their collective defence posture but also their commitment to ‘projecting stability’ beyond their borders.


Algeria: reform before demands turn revolutionary

Dalia Ghanem-Yazbeck. ARI 37/2017 - 28/4/2017.

In a context of social and economic distress, Algeria is no longer able to maintain its current approach to the welfare state while avoiding deep structural reforms.


The card table turned upside down: the first 6.8% of the Donald Trump Presidency

Paul Isbell. ARI 36/2017 - 27/4/207.

The first 100 days of the Trump Presidency have come to an end.


‘There is no life without jihad and no jihad without hijrah’: the jihadist mobilisation of women in Spain, 2014-16

Carola García-Calvo. ARI 34/2017 (English version) - 17/4/2017.

This analysis looks at the women who are recruited to join Islamic State in Spain: who they are, how they were radicalised and what their motivations and functions are within the groups, cells and networks in which they ultimately become involved.