Security & Defence

Preparing for Pandemics through Surveillance (ARI)

Sara E. Davies. ARI 9/2009 - 14/1/2009.

The international surveillance of infectious diseases is being addressed through international, national and non-state networks.

Somali Piracy: A Dangerous Internal and External Threat (ARI)

Laura Hammond. ARI 162/2008 - 10/12/2008. Go to Spanish version

The recent dramatic increase in the successes of Somali pirates has resulted in international calls for tightened security in the Gulf of Aden. However, the problem cannot be solved through securitised measures alone and a greater emphasis must be placed on building a legitimate government inside Somalia to effectively manage the problem.

The Coming NATO Nuclear Debate (ARI)

Bruno Tertrais. ARI 117/2008 - 26/9/2008. Go to Spanish version

This paper analyses NATO’s current nuclear position, the arguments for and against withdrawal, and the need for a calm process of behind-the-doors consultations on this issue, with an open mind and with no taboos. Otherwise, NATO could generate a new controversy between Member States and put at risk the credibility of its nuclear deterrence.

Spain in the 21st Century: The Case for a National Security Strategy (ARI)

Charlie Edwards. ARI 91/2008 - 8/8/2008. Go to Spanish version

France and the UK have just released their national security and defence strategies in 2008. For Spain the case for a national security strategy is growing because it shares the same complex and uncertain strategic challenges.

Neighbours, Allies and Giants: Three Themes in Australian Strategic Thinking (ARI)

Robert Ayson. ARI 71/2008 - 3/7/2008.

Australian strategic thinking is a challenging balancing act between three priorities: local developments in Australia’s immediate neighbourhood, alliance commitments at the global level and coping with the rise of the Asian giants.

In Spain's interest: A Committed Foreign Policy

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero. (Translated from Spanish) - 2/7/2008. Go to Spanish version

An address by the Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero at the Prado Museum (Madrid) on 16 June 2008 organised by the Elcano Royal Institute, with the collaboration of the following Spanish institutions: CIDOB Foundation, FRIDE, ICEI and INCIPE. (This text is also available in French: Dans l’intérêt de l’Espagne: une politique extérieure engagée).

Chad: Democratisation Challenges and Limits of International Intervention (ARI)

Paul-Simon Handy. ARI 59/2008 - 6/6/2008.

International interventions in Chad, such as the European Eufor Chad, must address structural problems linked to governance and democracy by helping Chadian political actors to reform the country’s social contract instead of focusing on preserving stability and, thus, becoming part of the problem and not of the solution.

Spain, Lebanon and UNIFIL (WP)

George Emile Irani. WP 21/2008 - 20/5/2008. Go to Spanish version

This study assesses the causes and results of the war in the summer of 2006 and its implications for local, regional and global politics. It also focuses on Spain’s military involvement in Lebanon, especially on the relationship between the Spanish UNIFIL contingent and the local population in South Lebanon.

Afghanistan and Lebanon: Assessment of the Jihadist Risk to Spain (WP)

Miguel Luparelli Mathieu, José Antonio Mathés and Andrés Montero Gómez. WP 8/2008 (Translated from Spanish) - 11/3/2008. Go to Spanish version

This analysis is based on a game theory model which assumes the premise that the behaviour of Jihadist groups (taken generally, and al-Qaeda in particular) and of States is rational and responds to strategic choices. It begins with an introduction to the context which situates Spain and global Jihadist groups on opposing sides of the game board of strategic interests. There follows an analysis of each of the scenarios and their implications in the strategies of Jihadist organisations, as well as their influence on Spanish foreign policy and international security policy decisions.

The Chad Conflict, United Nations (MINURCAT) and the European Union (EUFOR) (ARI)

Félix Arteaga. ARI 20/2008 (Translated from Spanish) - 10/3/2008. Go to Spanish version

The European EUFOR Chad/CAR mission, in support of humanitarian and police action for the United Nations mission in Chad and the Central African Republic, has been suspended until peace is restored to the region.