Expert Comments

The expert comments are brief 1.000- to 1,500-word pieces produced by the Elcano Royal Institute's analysts as an immediate response to international events relevant to Spain.


Turkey’s choice: an election that might be too close to call

Ilke Toygür. Expert Comment 34/2018 - 21/6/2018.

The upcoming elections are not only about who is to govern the country but also about how it will be governed. With a historic turning point just ahead, the dynamics of Turkish society are being reflected in the electoral contest.


G7 in Canada: Trump’s bravado annoys Europe

Miguel Otero-Iglesias. Expert Comment 32/2018.

The G7 meeting has been one of the most disastrous in years.  The debate in Europe will continue to be whether Trump is just a blip, with the White House returning to the good old Western alliance once he departs, or whether there has been a permanent and structural shift in US foreign policy.


Should Europe limit Chinese investment?

Mario Esteban. Expert Comment 28/2018 (English version) - 7/5/2018.

Why would such a European mechanism to supervise investment be necessary at this time? The main reason is the extraordinary evolution in recent years of Chinese investment in Europe.


The US and North Korea: will their Presidents shake hands?

Félix Arteaga and Mario Esteban. Expert Comment 27/2018 (English version) - 26/4/2018.

The best news that we can hope for is that the summit does finally take place and that it serves as a new call to an essential negotiation process capable of achieving concrete results in terms of nuclear non-proliferation goals and East Asian stability.


Turkey’s snap elections: Why in such a hurry?

Ilke Toygür. Expert Comment 25/2018 - 24/4/2018.

A clear victory for President Erdoğan might not be so sure if the economy turns bad, national pride fades away and the opposition parties begin to offer viable alternatives. Will he lose it all? We shall see.


Understanding money to save the euro

Miguel Otero-Iglesias. Expert Comment 23/2018 - 4/4/2018.

The Eurozone has a problem. The debate on how to reform and deepen European monetary union is dominated by those who believe that establishing a fiscal and political union is not necessary to underpin the single currency’s long-term stability.


What you need to know about Trump’s trade war

Federico Steinberg. Expert Comment 21/2018 (English version) - 19/3/2018.

If with more delay than expected, the aggressive and protectionist Trump has finally moved into action. The US is unilaterally imposing new tariffs of 10% and 25%, respectively, on imports of aluminium and steel.


Strategic Communication (StratCom) policies

Félix Arteaga. Expert Comment 17/2018 - 26/02/2018.

The European and Japanese StratCom policies have been directed to a greater extent to foreign and international audiences rather than to reinforcing the cohesion of their own populations. A broader StratCom approach should be more inclusive and also cover internal perceptions.


Spain’s continuing export boom

William Chislett. Expert Comment 16/2018 - 21/2/2018.

Spain’s exporting prowess continued in 2017 when sales of goods abroad increased for the eighth straight year and notched up a new record of €277.1 billion, close to one-quarter of GDP.


Europe in the face of a new privileged strategic scenario: the Indo-Pacific region

Mario Esteban. Expert Comment 15/2018 - 20/2/2018.

European diplomacy must support regional initiatives that are inclusive, favour cooperation and are governed by international norms and standards. The Free and Open Indo-Pacific Strategy could be an excellent platform for such a purpose as long as it is not implemented merely as an instrument to contain China