Analyses of the Elcano Royal Institute (ARI)

The analyses are short pieces -of around 3,000 words- on aspects of current international affairs considered to be of relevance to Spain, its foreign policy or its security. In broad terms ARIs are intended to have a predictive bearing on events.


Turkey in and out of NATO? An instance of a turbulent alliance with Western institutions

Yaprak Gürsoy and Ilke Toygür. ARI 73/2018 - 11/6/2018.

Turkey’s links with its Western allies have steadily deteriorated over the past few years. There have been major developments over the past decade that need to be looked at in order to explain the current estrangement with NATO.


A Brazilian perspective on the challenges facing the EU and Latin American cooperation agenda

Carlos R. S. Milani. ARI 72/2018 - 11/6/2018.

The construction of a cooperation agenda between the EU and South America must take into account the challenges Latin American countries need to overcome to correct their democratic deficits and the negative social and political effects of their economic development models.


Jamā’at Nuṣrat al-Islām wa-l-Muslimīn: a propaganda analysis of al-Qaeda’s project for the Sahel

Sergio Altuna Galán. ARI 70/2018 - 1/6/2018.

The lessons that al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) has learnt after years of activity in the Sahel have crystallised in the creation of JNIM. This paper analyses its propaganda to shed light on this new alliance and its relationship with the regional organisational structure.


The changing Chinese economic model: an opportunity for Spanish companies

Adrián Blanco Estévez. ARI 66/2018 (English version) - 8/5/2018.

This analysis focuses on China’s changing economic growth model and the important new business opportunities this change is generating for Spanish companies.


Gibraltar, a possible solution: diffused sovereignty and shared functions

Ignacio Molina. ARI 64/2018 (English version) - 7/5/2018.

Brexit opens a small window of opportunity to attempt to resolve the status of Gibraltar.