Highlights

Catalonia’s independence bid: how did we get here? What is the European dimension? What next?

Elcano Royal Institute, 17/10/2017.

This special dossier aims to provide an overview and background information on Catalonia’s independence bid, the attempts to ‘internationalise the conflict’ and its European dimension, and the possible future scenarios.


Latest publications

The ‘combination’: an instrument in Russia’s information war in Catalonia

Mira Milosevich-Juaristi. ARI 92/2017 - 20/11/2017.

During the independence referendum in Catalonia, Russia used the ‘combination’ (kombinaciya), an operation can integrate instruments such as cyber warfare, cyber-intelligence, disinformation, propaganda and collaboration with players hostile to the values of liberal democracy.


The potential impact of the Catalan crisis on the Spanish economy

William Chislett. Expert Comment 47/2017 - 8/11/2017.

The crisis in Catalonia, sparked by the regional government’s illegal proclamation of an independent state last month, is already exacting a toll on the Catalan economy.


The foreign policy of Xi Jinping after the 19th Congress: China strives for a central role on the world stage

Mario Esteban. ARI 87/2017 - 7/11/2017.

At the recent 19th Congress of the Communist Party of China, Xi Jinping expounded upon the central features of Chinese foreign policy to be followed over the next five years.


Japan’s rosy short-term outlook masks the failure of Abenomics

Alicia Garcia Herrero & Kohei Iwahara. ARI 84/2017 - 2/11/2017.

Shinzō Abe won a majority in the elections to the Lower House of parliament held on 22 October, supported by a cyclical economic uptrend. However, without meaningful structural reforms to lift productivity, Japan’s long-term outlook remains gloomy.


The challenges of Rohani’s second term

Luciano Zaccara. ARI 83/2017 (English version) - 30/10/2017.

What are the domestic constraints (from the Revolutionary Guard to economic restrictions) and the external challenges (from the new tightening of US-Saudi relations to the crisis in the Gulf Cooperation Council) that re-elected President Hassan Rohani will face over the next four years?


The missile threat in the Mediterranean: implications for European security

Jean-Loup Samaan. ARI 79/2017 - 25/10/2017.

The proliferation of missiles and rockets has steadily grown in the Mediterranean. The issue will constitute one of the central challenges for NATO and EU policies in relation to their southern flank.


Germany and France: ready to tango?

Ulrich Speck. Expert Comment 46/2017 - 23/10/2017.

A ‘great leap forward’ in European integration is very unlikely to occur in the German-French discussions on the EU, which will probably start in early 2018.


Catalonia’s independence bid: how did we get here? What is the European dimension? What next?

Elcano Royal Institute. 17 October 2017.

This special dossier aims to provide an overview and background information on Catalonia’s independence bid, the attempts to ‘internationalise the conflict’ and its European dimension, and the possible future scenarios.


Good news: synchronised global economic acceleration

Federico Steinberg. Expert Comment 44/2017 (English version) - 10/10/2017.

After several years of the global economy growing at an increasingly slower rate, most countries –including advanced, emerging and developing economies– have experienced strong synchronised growth since the middle of 2016 and especially in 2017.


Merkel pays a high price for her fourth term

Miguel Otero-Iglesias. Expert Comment 43/2017 (English version) - 9/10/2017.

The German exception has come to an end. Like its neighbours, the German people, and their elites, will have to deal with the problem of an exclusionary, anti-globalisation, anti-EU and anti-immigration nationalism.


Turkey and the EU must stand together for a better future

Ömer Çelik. 27/9/2017.

As a candidate and negotiating country, Turkey is closely following the recent developments and debates about the EU’s current situation and future, since they are intimately related to its own future.


Trump’s foreign policy: the revolution that has not happened – yet

Ulrich Speck. Expert Comment 39/2017 - 19/9/2017.

After eight months with Trump in office, US foreign policy is characterised not by disruption but by continuity. The Trump revolution in foreign policy has not happened.


Transforming the United Nations: countering the US budget-cut threats

Jessica Almqvist. ARI 71/2017 - 18/9/2017.

The US threat of budget cuts or other means of reducing the importance of the United Nations highlights the need for a more independent and balanced organisation through the reinvigorated role of other powers, such as the EU.


The conundrum of Spain’s recovering economy and stubbornly high unemployment

William Chislett. ARI 70/2017 - 15/9/2017.

The economy has recovered from a deep crisis and is growing at more than 3% for the third year running, but the unemployment rate remains stubbornly high at 17.2%, though well down on the peak of 27.1% in 2013.


The shrinking Euro-Mediterranean policy space

Gonzalo Escribano. ARI 69/2017 (English version) - 14/9/2017.

The transformations that have taken place in the EU’s Mediterranean Neighbourhood have reduced the options for a shrinking Euro-Mediterranean policy.


Further publications