Highlights

Catalonia’s independence bid: how did we get here? What is the European dimension? What next?

Elcano Royal Institute

This special dossier aims to provide an overview and background information on Catalonia’s independence bid, the attempts to ‘internationalise the conflict’ and its European dimension, and the possible future scenarios.


Latest publications

Putin after Putin

Mira Milosevich-Juaristi. ARI 55/2018 (English version) - 20/4/2018.

What have been the keys to the victory of Vladimir Putin in the presidential elections held on 18 March? Does the election imply a change in the current Russian political system?


Coherence and focus on capability priorities: why EDA’s role in CARD, PESCO and EDF matters

Jorge Domecq. ARI 54/2018 - 19/4/2018.

A coherent, priority-focused and output-oriented implementation of the new tools is indispensable to boost European defence cooperation. The European Defence Agency (EDA) plays an important role in this respect.


Portugal’s economic prospects: was the political miracle responsible for the economic miracle?

Luís Teles Morais. ARI 53/2018 - 19/4/2018.

This paper looks at recent developments in the Portuguese economy from the troika period to the current recovery in the context of the political framework. Is the political miracle of the parliamentary coalition behind the later?


Energy in 2018: geopolitical tensions OPEC+ and Trump Year II

Gonzalo Escribano. ARI 51/2018 (English version) - 17/4/2018.

The year 2018 points to oil prices above the 2017 average, to a tightening of geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East and to a growing rivalry between OPEC+ and unconventional producers in the US.


From policy to populism: Donald Trump’s trade policy in global context

Richard Higgott. ARI 47/2018 - 10/4/2018.

An open multilateral trade system is under direct challenge from the policies of President Donald Trump. The year 2018 will be crucial.


Spain’s main listed companies notch up record revenues abroad

William Chislett. ARI 46/2018 - 10/4/2018.

The companies that comprise the Ibex 35, the benchmark index of the Madrid Stock Exchange, generated a record 67.7% of their revenues abroad in 2017.


Debt mutualisation, inflation and populism in the Eurozone

Alfredo Arahuetes García and Gonzalo Gómez Bengoechea. ARI 45/2018 - 5/4/2018.

The balance between monetary normalisation and debt mutualisation should allow a soft transition from ECB’s sovereign interventions to some form of fiscal solution ‘from the centre’.


Understanding money to save the euro

Miguel Otero-Iglesias. Expert Comment 23/2018 - 4/4/2018.

The Eurozone has a problem. The debate on how to reform and deepen European monetary union is dominated by those who believe that establishing a fiscal and political union is not necessary to underpin the single currency’s long-term stability.


The composition of the European Parliament in 2019

Victoriano Ramírez González, José A. Martínez Aroza and Antonio Palomares Bautista. ARI 42/2018 - 23/3/2018.

The European Parliament has proposed a composition to the European Council that fulfils degressive proportionality. Hence, the distribution is acceptable, although it can be improved.


What you need to know about Trump’s trade war

Federico Steinberg. Expert Comment 21/2018 (English version) - 19/3/2018.

If with more delay than expected, the aggressive and protectionist Trump has finally moved into action. The US is unilaterally imposing new tariffs of 10% and 25%, respectively, on imports of aluminium and steel.


A guide to understanding Italy: the 2018 elections and beyond

Ilke Toygür. ARI 39/2018 - 16/3/2018.

The Italian elections of March 2018 –which have become a case study for populism– have caused much anxiety in Europe; as a founder member of the EU, Italy deserves a deeper analysis to understand its electoral dynamics.


Gender equality in Trump’s America

María Solanas Cardín. ARI 38/2018 (English version) - 16/3/2018.

What has been the impact of Donald Trump’s decisions and public policies on the rights and liberties of women during the first year of his Presidency?


Towers and walls against multiculturalism: Hispanics and Spanish in the Trump Presidency

Ángel Badillo Matos. ARI 36/2018 (English version) - 12/3/2018.

The election of Donald Trump has generated new tensions around the public use of Spanish in the US and, above all, over multiculturalism.


The world economy in 2018

Federico Steinberg and José Pablo Martínez. ARI 34/2018 (English version) - 8/3/2018.

The world economy seems to be rebounding definitively from the Great Recession, but many and varied risks still threaten consolidation of the recovery in 2018.


A G20 agenda for technological justice

Andrés Ortega & Francisco Andrés Pérez. ARI 31/2018 - 6/3/2018.

Technological justice can play an important role within the international system in resolving global challenges and creating a smart and more equal world society.


Further publications