Highlights

Review of “Al-Qaeda’s Revenge” in The Economist

The Economist, 4/5/2017.

Review of the book by Fernando Reinares on the 2004 Madrid train bombings, published by Wilson Center and Columbia University Press. See also: book launch in Washington DC and more analyses on International Terrorism


G20 Insights on global inequality and social cohesion, and financial resilience

Andrés Ortega, Miguel Otero-Iglesias and Federico Steinberg. Think20 (T20), 2017.

Recommendations and visions to the G20 by Andrés Ortega, Miguel Otero-Iglesias and Federico Steinberg –Senior Analysts at the Elcano Royal Institute– within the framework of the T20 process. The Think20 (T20) is a network of research institutes and think tanks of the G20 member countries. See also: the Elcano Royal Institute at the T20


Possible impacts of Brexit on EU development and humanitarian policies

Iliana Olivié & Aitor Pérez. April 2017.

This study support the work of the European Parliament’s Committee on Development (DEVE) in the debate surrounding the UK’s withdrawal from the EU.


Latest publications

Crossing the red line: how Russian interference in Western democracy is backfiring

Ulrich Speck. Expert Comment 24/2017 - 29/5/2017 .

Those in the West who argue in favour of detente, of an easing of sanctions and a rapprochement with the Kremlin, find it much more difficult to defend this course of action because of the rising anger over Russian political warfare tactics.


Political and geopolitical games in the Cypriot labyrinth: a Greek-Cypriot perspective

Costas Melakopides. ARI 46/2017 - 26/5/2017.

Cyprus’s ‘bi-communal negotiations’ have collapsed once again but in a manner that reveals diplomatic cacophony, deceptive international ‘diplomatic’ practices and serious mistakes by both the Greek and Turkish Cypriots themselves.


Energy and the climate in 2017: limited volatility, climate implementation and political uncertainty

Gonzalo Escribano and Lara Lázaro. ARI 42/2017 (English version) - 23/5/2017.

The main factors likely to shape the energy and climate fields in 2017 are: a relatively contained volatility in the prices of oil and the implementation of increasingly ambitious climate policies in a context of political uncertainty.


What does NATO need to ‘project stability’ in its neighbourhood?

Rubén Díaz-Plaja. ARI 40/2017 - 18/5/2017.

At NATO’s Warsaw Summit in 2016, allied leaders announced not only major changes to their collective defence posture but also their commitment to ‘projecting stability’ beyond their borders.


Discovering the Mediterranean (and tapping into its pro-European attitudes)

Ignacio Molina. Expert Comment 20/2017 (English version) - 8/5/2017.

If it sets its mind to it, it seems likely that the group of Southern EU countries that met in Madrid will be able to mould the debate on the future of Europe in a decisive way.


Algeria: reform before demands turn revolutionary

Dalia Ghanem-Yazbeck. ARI 37/2017 - 28/4/2017.

In a context of social and economic distress, Algeria is no longer able to maintain its current approach to the welfare state while avoiding deep structural reforms.


The card table turned upside down: the first 6.8% of the Donald Trump Presidency

Paul Isbell. ARI 36/2017 - 27/4/207.

The first 100 days of the Trump Presidency have come to an end.


‘There is no life without jihad and no jihad without hijrah’: the jihadist mobilisation of women in Spain, 2014-16

Carola García-Calvo. ARI 34/2017 (English version) - 17/4/2017.

This analysis looks at the women who are recruited to join Islamic State in Spain: who they are, how they were radicalised and what their motivations and functions are within the groups, cells and networks in which they ultimately become involved.


Assessing the design elements in the Spanish renewable electricity auction: an international comparison

Pablo del Río. WP 6/2017 - 17/4/2017.

The RES-E (electricity from renewable energy sources) auction in Spain is quite different from other international experiences regarding key design elements, namely investment-based support, uniform pricing, lax prequalification and penalties.


From Istanbul to Madrid: five things to know before the Turkish constitutional referendum

İlke Toygür. Expert Comment 18/2017 - 12/4/2017.

Polls show a neck-to-neck race between the two sides. Today, the main question is not the constitutional reform itself, but approval of the governing party, and even more so of the figure of President Erdoğan.


Germany and Trump-America: back on track?

Ulrich Speck. Expert Comment 16/2017 - 11/4/2017.

The widely anticipated clash between Germany and the Trump Administration has not happened. Instead, Berlin and Washington DC seem to be on the way to pragmatic cooperation, even when there is still significant disagreement.


Japan’s strategic awakening: opportunities for Spain

Luis Simón. ARI 31/2017 (English version) - 5/4/2017.

The strategic awakening of Japan, a power with maritime inclinations and a geostrategic position relative to Asia similar to Spain’s relative to Europe, provides Spain with a series of opportunities.


Why Spain would like a ‘soft’ Brexit for the UK

William Chislett. ARI 27/2017 - 29/3/2017.

Spain has good reasons for wanting the best possible relationship between Britain and the EU as a result of Brexit, but it cannot allow the UK to be better off outside the EU than inside it.


The euro as a social bond: why do Eurozone citizens still back the single currency?

Miguel Otero-Iglesias. ARI 25/2017 - 27/3/2017.

This paper tries to understand why despite the pain in the South of the Eurozone and the anger in the North the majority of the people still support the euro.


One year on: an assessment of the EU-Turkey statement on refugees

İlke Toygür and Bianca Benvenuti. ARI 21/2017 - 21/3/2017.

An honest assessment of the refugee deal is very much needed since the EU is considering new ones with other transit countries. Both Turkey and key EU countries are facing electoral challenges as well: internal politics and foreign policy decisions are highly interwoven.


Further publications