Highlights

Catalonia’s independence bid: how did we get here? What is the European dimension? What next?

Elcano Royal Institute, 17/10/2017.

This special dossier aims to provide an overview and background information on Catalonia’s independence bid, the attempts to ‘internationalise the conflict’ and its European dimension, and the possible future scenarios.


Latest publications

Austria in Europe: dynamic perceptions and ambiguous politics

Paul Schmidt. ARI 101/2017 - 11/12/2017.

After snap legislative elections in October a new government coalition will now redefine Austria’s commitment to European integration.


Latin America at the beginning of a decisive electoral triennium (2017-19)

Rogelio Núñez. ARI 99/2017 (English version) - 7/ 12/2017.

In November 2017 Latin America begins a long and intense electoral period that will last until 2019 and during which 14 countries will hold presidential elections. At stake is the adjustment of the region’s economies to the new international context and the confirmation –or not– that Latin America is experiencing a general change in political tendency.


Is Latin America part of the West?

Emilio Lamo de Espinosa. WP 14/2017 - 4/12/2017.

Can we talk of a separate Latin American civilisation as distinct from Western civilisation?


The ‘combination’: an instrument in Russia’s information war in Catalonia

Mira Milosevich-Juaristi. ARI 92/2017 (English version) - 20/11/2017.

During the independence referendum in Catalonia, Russia used the ‘combination’ (kombinaciya), an operation can integrate instruments such as cyber warfare, cyber-intelligence, disinformation, propaganda and collaboration with players hostile to the values of liberal democracy.


Spain and India: seeking stronger bilateral relations

Rubén Campos Palarea & Jayshree Sengupta. WP 02/2017 (paper format, English version) - 14/11/2017.

This working paper is a joint project by Spain’s Elcano Royal Institute and India’s Observer Research Foundation in the context of the commemoration of 60 years of diplomatic relations between India and Spain and the recent official visit of Prime Minister Modi to Madrid.


The potential impact of the Catalan crisis on the Spanish economy

William Chislett. Expert Comment 47/2017 - 8/11/2017.

The crisis in Catalonia, sparked by the regional government’s illegal proclamation of an independent state last month, is already exacting a toll on the Catalan economy.


The foreign policy of Xi Jinping after the 19th Congress: China strives for a central role on the world stage

Mario Esteban. ARI 87/2017 (English version) - 7/11/2017.

At the recent 19th Congress of the Communist Party of China, Xi Jinping expounded upon the central features of Chinese foreign policy to be followed over the next five years.


Japan’s rosy short-term outlook masks the failure of Abenomics

Alicia Garcia Herrero & Kohei Iwahara. ARI 84/2017 - 2/11/2017.

Shinzō Abe won a majority in the elections to the Lower House of parliament held on 22 October, supported by a cyclical economic uptrend. However, without meaningful structural reforms to lift productivity, Japan’s long-term outlook remains gloomy.


The challenges of Rohani’s second term

Luciano Zaccara. ARI 83/2017 (English version) - 30/10/2017.

What are the domestic constraints (from the Revolutionary Guard to economic restrictions) and the external challenges (from the new tightening of US-Saudi relations to the crisis in the Gulf Cooperation Council) that re-elected President Hassan Rohani will face over the next four years?


The missile threat in the Mediterranean: implications for European security

Jean-Loup Samaan. ARI 79/2017 - 25/10/2017.

The proliferation of missiles and rockets has steadily grown in the Mediterranean. The issue will constitute one of the central challenges for NATO and EU policies in relation to their southern flank.


Germany and France: ready to tango?

Ulrich Speck. Expert Comment 46/2017 - 23/10/2017.

A ‘great leap forward’ in European integration is very unlikely to occur in the German-French discussions on the EU, which will probably start in early 2018.


Catalonia’s independence bid: how did we get here? What is the European dimension? What next?

Elcano Royal Institute. 17 October 2017.

This special dossier aims to provide an overview and background information on Catalonia’s independence bid, the attempts to ‘internationalise the conflict’ and its European dimension, and the possible future scenarios.


Good news: synchronised global economic acceleration

Federico Steinberg. Expert Comment 44/2017 (English version) - 10/10/2017.

After several years of the global economy growing at an increasingly slower rate, most countries –including advanced, emerging and developing economies– have experienced strong synchronised growth since the middle of 2016 and especially in 2017.


Merkel pays a high price for her fourth term

Miguel Otero-Iglesias. Expert Comment 43/2017 (English version) - 9/10/2017.

The German exception has come to an end. Like its neighbours, the German people, and their elites, will have to deal with the problem of an exclusionary, anti-globalisation, anti-EU and anti-immigration nationalism.


Turkey and the EU must stand together for a better future

Ömer Çelik. 27/9/2017.

As a candidate and negotiating country, Turkey is closely following the recent developments and debates about the EU’s current situation and future, since they are intimately related to its own future.


Further publications