Highlights

G20 Insights on global inequality and social cohesion, and financial resilience

Andrés Ortega, Miguel Otero-Iglesias and Federico Steinberg. Think20 (T20), 2017.

Recommendations and visions to the G20 by Andrés Ortega, Miguel Otero-Iglesias and Federico Steinberg –Senior Analysts at the Elcano Royal Institute– within the framework of the T20 process. The Think20 (T20) is a network of research institutes and think tanks of the G20 member countries. See also: the Elcano Royal Institute at the T20


Possible impacts of Brexit on EU development and humanitarian policies

Iliana Olivié & Aitor Pérez. April 2017.

This study support the work of the European Parliament’s Committee on Development (DEVE) in the debate surrounding the UK’s withdrawal from the EU.


Latest publications

Spain: reasons behind the prolonged absence of anti-European and xenophobic views

Salvador Llaudes. 26/06/2017.

The recent crisis has been a litmus test of Spain’s Europeanism. There has been neither a surge of Euroscepticism nor of anti-immigration sentiment, although the so-called ‘naïf Europeanism’ which used to exist in the country is no longer there either.


How can a military conflict in the Korean Peninsula be avoided?

Félix Arteaga and Mario Esteban. ARI 52/2017 (English version) - 20/6/2017.

This analysis warns of the growing risk of armed conflict in the Korean Peninsula and sets out some options for avoiding it and proceeding towards an agreement that would enable the precarious stability of the region to be underpinned.


The joint sovereignty proposal for Gibraltar: benefits for all

Martín Ortega Carcelén. ARI 50/2017 (English version) - 13/6/2017.

In the wake of the Brexit referendum, Spain submitted a negotiation proposal to the UK on Gibraltar that put joint sovereignty, dual nationality for the Gibraltarians and respect for their autonomy on the table.


The Trump effect on EU-China relations

Mario Esteban. ARI 49/2017 (English version) - 7/6/2017.

Trump's term in office throws up opportunities for the strengthening of relations between the EU and China, especially if Europe decides to intensify its Common Security and Defence Policy and Beijing decides to take its process of economic reforms further.


Reflections on the Commission’s euro reflection paper: let’s get the sequencing right

Miguel Otero-Iglesias. Expert Comment 30/2017 - 6/6/2017.

It is important to think harder on how to improve and strengthen the political union. Only in this way will there be a greater momentum and willingness to introduce the technical solutions that most economists agree upon.


The Paris Agreement after Trump and the future of climate action

Lara Lázaro. Expert Comment 29/2017 - 6/6/2017.

The message from world leaders is clear: there is no intention of abandoning an agreement that has taken over five years to negotiate. The world will move forwards towards a low-carbon future despite Trump’s efforts to hold it back.


The new silk roads: opportunities for Spanish companies?

Mario Esteban. Expert Comment 26/2017 (English version) - 5/6/2017.

As long as the greater part of financing for new silk road projects continues being earmarked for projects where the contracts are not tendered for in a transparent and competitive way, the prospects for Spanish companies’ participation will remain highly limited.


Crossing the red line: how Russian interference in Western democracy is backfiring

Ulrich Speck. Expert Comment 24/2017 - 29/5/2017 .

Those in the West who argue in favour of detente, of an easing of sanctions and a rapprochement with the Kremlin, find it much more difficult to defend this course of action because of the rising anger over Russian political warfare tactics.


Political and geopolitical games in the Cypriot labyrinth: a Greek-Cypriot perspective

Costas Melakopides. ARI 46/2017 - 26/5/2017.

Cyprus’s ‘bi-communal negotiations’ have collapsed once again but in a manner that reveals diplomatic cacophony, deceptive international ‘diplomatic’ practices and serious mistakes by both the Greek and Turkish Cypriots themselves.


Energy and the climate in 2017: limited volatility, climate implementation and political uncertainty

Gonzalo Escribano and Lara Lázaro. ARI 42/2017 (English version) - 23/5/2017.

The main factors likely to shape the energy and climate fields in 2017 are: a relatively contained volatility in the prices of oil and the implementation of increasingly ambitious climate policies in a context of political uncertainty.


What does NATO need to ‘project stability’ in its neighbourhood?

Rubén Díaz-Plaja. ARI 40/2017 - 18/5/2017.

At NATO’s Warsaw Summit in 2016, allied leaders announced not only major changes to their collective defence posture but also their commitment to ‘projecting stability’ beyond their borders.


Discovering the Mediterranean (and tapping into its pro-European attitudes)

Ignacio Molina. Expert Comment 20/2017 (English version) - 8/5/2017.

If it sets its mind to it, it seems likely that the group of Southern EU countries that met in Madrid will be able to mould the debate on the future of Europe in a decisive way.


Algeria: reform before demands turn revolutionary

Dalia Ghanem-Yazbeck. ARI 37/2017 - 28/4/2017.

In a context of social and economic distress, Algeria is no longer able to maintain its current approach to the welfare state while avoiding deep structural reforms.


The card table turned upside down: the first 6.8% of the Donald Trump Presidency

Paul Isbell. ARI 36/2017 - 27/4/207.

The first 100 days of the Trump Presidency have come to an end.


‘There is no life without jihad and no jihad without hijrah’: the jihadist mobilisation of women in Spain, 2014-16

Carola García-Calvo. ARI 34/2017 (English version) - 17/4/2017.

This analysis looks at the women who are recruited to join Islamic State in Spain: who they are, how they were radicalised and what their motivations and functions are within the groups, cells and networks in which they ultimately become involved.


Further publications