|
Summary
A French proposal to create a Mediterranean Union has drawn much
attention on the Euro-Mediterranean political scene. So far the
proposal is somewhere between vague and indeterminate. It is
important for Spain to join this process so as to guide it from the
inside with coherent ideas.
Introduction
The French President Nicolas Sarkozy first proposed the idea of a
Mediterranean Union on 7 February 2007 in Toulon as he campaigned for
the presidential election of that year, and the idea has drawn much
attention on the Euro-Mediterranean political scene. At first the
idea was seen as just another pitch for the election campaign, meant
for domestic consumption and separate from the inter-governmental
workings of the countries on the northern and southern rims of the
Mediterranean. The proposal had electioneering written all over it:
it blended a French commitment to the Mediterranean region with an
apparent alternative to the idea of letting Turkey join the EU. Time
has shown, however, that the proposal also reflects a view widely
shared in France as to the country’s strategic position in the
Mediterranean.[1]
Outside France, early reaction to the proposal ranged from scepticism
to opposition. In fact, one of the paradoxes of the idea is that it
has stirred premature nostalgia over the Barcelona Process among some
of its most ardent critics. This is especially the case in the
academic world, where the French proposal has turned many heads and
drawn explicit criticism. As the proposal is still recent, and
perhaps because it is short on details, there is still no broad,
formal body of literature on the issue. But there have been many
articles written in the media, and some working papers. In general,
these pieces welcome the French initiative as a potential force for
renewal. Then, as expected, they make alternative proposals. In any
case it is important to note that the initiative has placed the
Mediterranean region on the agenda of European political leaders and
attracted the attention of the media. And with the Lisbon accords
recently signed, the debate is beginning to go beyond the
Euro-Mediterranean realm and make an overall evaluation of Europe’s
drive to work towards a common foreign policy.
Among member states and the countries of the Maghreb (except Algeria, where
the proposal has been received more coolly) the attitude has been one
of watching and waiting, without offending the French President, and
trying to have an influence on the proposal so as to project each
country’s own preferences. The European Commission has seen in
the initiative a desire to keep it on the sidelines of the
Mediterranean Union, and being included later in the proposal does
not appear to have appeased the Commission. Perhaps the strongest
reaction has come from non-Mediterranean member countries of the EU.
They have been excluded from an initiative that still plans to use EU
funds. In a speech in Berlin on 5 December 2007, German Chancellor
Angela Merkel expressed fears that the Mediterranean Union would
threaten the core of the EU. Specifically, she said it was out of the
question for some countries to form a Mediterranean Union and finance
it with resources from the EU.[2]
With its transformation from election proposal to diplomatic
initiative, there is a growing perception that President Sarkozy’s
idea can be channelled in such a way as to deepen Euro-Mediterranean
relations. It seems that the dynamics of Mediterranean geopolitics
are entering a new phase marked by the personality of the new French
President and his vision of France’s place in the international
arena, one in which the Mediterranean is a strategic vector. In other
words, there appears to be a consensus to the effect that the age,
ambition and political ideas of the new President can have a major
influence on shaping of Euro-Mediterranean relations in the new few
years. For this reason it is a good idea to analyse in detail the
possibilities that his proposal opens up for the Mediterranean.
In terms of format, this paper centres on three issues. The first is
what direction this reshaping of ties will take, if in fact there is
one; in other words, what does the proposal entail and what is its
actual content in political, institutional, financial and economic
terms. The second issue looks at how to utilise Sarkozy’s drive
efficiently so that it remains consistent with the current
Euro-Mediterranean framework but at the same time builds on it and
yields significant progress. With this in mind the second part of the
paper reviews and analyses some of the proposals made in recent
months. Finally, the third section proposes some ideas for preserving
the spirit of the Barcelona Process without missing out on a chance
to make substantial progress in Euro-Mediterranean relations.
A Union of Projects
In the time elapsed between the unveiling of the electoral proposal in
Toulon and a speech by Sarkozy as President in Tangiers on 23 October
2007, one can detect how French diplomats have worked to give content
to and elaborate on the fine points of an initiative that had been
short on details. But the President’s determination has not
wavered. In the speech at Toulon, once we have removed the electoral
component (selective immigration, and an alternative to Turkey
joining the EU) and what are seen outside France as excesses of
rhetoric (France’s civilising mission), there are important
messages. In the first place, there is a strategic vision for the EU
which, in the absence of further conceptual development, can be
summed up with the statement that ‘the future of Europe is in
the South’. Sarkozy repeated the idea in his speech in
Tangiers. This is a diagnosis shared by the rest of the Mediterranean
members of the EU. And thanks largely to the Barcelona Process, this
is also recognised by other member states which had not been terribly
interested in the Mediterranean in the past.[3]
However, the exact meaning of the sentence is discerned better in
another part of the speech, when Sarkozy says that what is at stake
in the Mediterranean is French influence in the world.
Secondly, Sarkozy says the Barcelona Process failed to achieve its goals, in
part because the EU’s enlargement to the East has overshadowed
other priorities, but also because of the preponderance of free trade
over the rest of the ‘baskets’, or packages of proposals,
of the Euromediterranean Partnership. This can be nuanced by saying
that, although tangible results have basically been achieved through
free-trade agreements with Mediterranean member states, this should
not be seen as a demerit of the economic package but rather as
stemming from the apathy of the rest of what is on offer in the
Barcelona Process. Stated this way, there is also a broad consensus
on this issue. But one can also raise the question of what, on the
other hand, –were it not for the Euro-Mediterranean
Partnership– would have happened with Euro-Mediterranean
relations in such a turbulent period like the one the region has
endured since 1995. It is true that free trade accords, most of which
have yet to reach the phase of substantial liberalisation, have not
caused the economies of the Mediterranean member states to take off
or served as catalysts for an overall process of economic and
institutional reforms, much less led to the democratisation of the
region. But no economist in his right mind would have expected free
trade alone to resolve such a complex equation as the development and
democratisation of the states on the Mediterranean’s southern
rim.[4] At most, free trade can contribute to economic development and the
modernisation of some institutions directly related to trade
activity, especially since free trade accords are manifestly
incomplete in that they do not fully include trade in services or
agricultural products.
In the Toulon version of the French proposal, the goals of the
Mediterranean Union were stated as the following: devise a policy of immigration choisie;[5] address the environmental challenges of the Mediterranean; conceive a
policy of co-development with common poles of competitiveness and
creation of joint venture companies; negotiated and regulated free
trade (a contradiction in terms that further addresses what was
stated above); joint management of water resources; an investment
bank; and emphasis on education. As was to be expected, the proposals
got a chilly reception, both from the European Commission and the
non-Mediterranean members of the EU, which felt excluded, and from
Mediterranean member countries of the Partnership. The latter did not
seem to like the emphasis on immigration and the defence of French
colonialism.
But in the Mediterranean part of Europe, the reaction was mixed. On the
one hand, as we have already stated, some countries saw an
opportunity to boost relations with the states of the Mediterranean’s
southern rim. But, on the other hand, there was concern over the
possibility of a Mediterranean Union relegating the Barcelona Process
to the back burner prematurely without contributing anything concrete
to replace it. Finally, there was fear that dissociating the
Mediterranean Union from the EU amounted to a French strategy to take
over leadership of European action in the Mediterranean, as is
clearly stated in the speech Sarkozy made in Toulon. One French
researcher reminds us that ‘when France talks about the
Mediterranean, it tends to do it to reaffirm its leadership’.[6]
In any case, that first proposal had the effect of getting many
Foreign Ministry officials to go back to work on the issue of the
Mediterranean and giving the impression that something might change
in Euro-Mediterranean relations.
The speech Sarkozy gave in Tangiers spoke of the need ‘to go
further, faster’ and begin working at ‘another level’.
The pace and rhetoric were vintage Sarkozy, but its activism might be
healthy for relations whose current framework seems limited, in the
absence of a greater level of political commitment. So the political
will to advance is welcome. But perhaps we need to reflect on where
we are headed before deciding to do it faster. Further? This does not
seem to be an appropriate answer if what we want to do is formulate
goals and objectives and tools for achieving them. And what is the
point of working without considering at what level: a higher one? A
more specific one? Transverse? Regional? From the bottom up?
The Tangiers speech shows a greater level of structuring in the French
proposals. First, it seeks to amend some of the elements that were most heavily criticised
by countries of the southern rim, Brussels and the rest of the EU
member states: it endorses the principle of ‘equality’ to
avoid colonialist-sounding connotations, avoids the issue of
immigration, foresees participation by the European Commission and
presents the Mediterranean Union as a common project that does not
seek to replace the Barcelona Process or the Neighbourhood Policy.
Secondly, it adds some features that are general but do provide
greater specifics, albeit conceptual and not at the operational
level: it proposes a Mediterranean Union that is pragmatic and with
variable geometry, gives priority to sectors such as culture,
education, justice and health; and incorporates the phrase ‘a
Union of projects’ in line with the recommendations of the
Avicena Report and other proposals.[7]
It seems that France wants regional cooperation to be based on five
institutional initiatives with a highly symbolic content: (1) a
Mediterranean Investment Bank similar to the European Investment
Bank, an existing proposal that never got off the ground and is not
supported by the EIB, which feels the problem with the Mediterranean
region is not one of a lack of financing but rather a lack of viable
projects that can appeal to the financial community (this position is
debatable); (2) an environmental agency with the task of overseeing
management of water resources; (3) a nuclear energy agency; (4) an
exchange programme for university students along the lines of the
Erasmus programme and designed to encourage cultural exchanges; and
(5) the creation of a shared audiovisual sector.
Although the exact workings of a Mediterranean Union remain unknown, this
approach seems to reflect that of a ‘Union of agencies’
more than one of projects. In fact, the recent proposal by the French
Parliament includes the idea of a Mediterranean agency to manage the
Mediterranean Union.[8] One might think this is a deliberate strategy to allow the
distribution of agencies and thus satisfy all the participants, in
which case each one (including Spain, of course) would have to start
thinking about which one interests them. But an empty initiative (yet
another one, critics would say) is the last thing the region needs.
Aside from creating a Mediterranean Investment Bank and a
water-resources management agency, at face value the other three
proposals have an unmistakable French flavour to them. Sarkozy has
shown interest in assuming a leading role in the rise of nuclear
energy as detected in the southern rim of the Mediterranean basin,
with his recent visits to Morocco and Algeria, to which one might add
Libya, and has proposed making French know-how in the sector
available to a future Mediterranean nuclear agency. As for the
university exchange programme, one might expect this to channel
students from the southern rim to French schools, due to language
issues, close ties with universities in the southern rim (mainly in
the Maghreb) and in general the network of relations between France
and its former colonies or protectorates. Going back to the issue of
language, when one speaks of a common audiovisual sector, it does not
seem this would have English as its shared tongue.
This apparent lack of precise details in the project lends itself to
several interpretations. On the one hand it can be perceived as an
exercise in making virtue out of necessity: on the basis of an
electoral proposal that is void of content, to transmit flexibility
to agree on the fundamental elements, even with regard to what
countries would belong to Mediterranean Union. In this scenario it is
appropriate to consider contributions from other member states,
Mediterranean member states and the European Commission, and it makes
sense to seek more proposals and narrow down the project from a
constructive point of view. A less benign interpretation would be
that the Mediterranean Union is simply an instrument for France to
project its power, and that its ambiguity is a deliberate strategy to
avoid the proposal being rejected altogether at the outset, trusting
that the French President’s political vigour will manage to
smooth over resistance to it. Finally, it has also been ventured that
the Mediterranean Union might simply be Sarkozy’s ‘Turkish
gambit’, erased prematurely due to the predictable and vehement
refusal of Turkey to consider any alternative to EU membership.[9]
Proposals for a Union
In this paper we intentionally adopt a constructive approach, which
allows speculation as to what elements could be incorporated to the
Mediterranean Union so as to move forward from the current framework.
Therefore, we retain the formula of going ‘further, faster’
than has the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership that emerged from the
Barcelona Conference of 1995, with the understanding that the new
proposal provides an opportunity to revitalise cooperation on both
shores of the Mediterranean. This constructive focus is shared by all
the documents cited in this study. It is also the essence of the
Spanish proposal, which involves precisely going beyond the
Euro-Mediterranean Partnership and ‘building a true
geopolitical space through the establishment of the
Euro-Mediterranean Union’.[10]
To this end the Spaniards have proposed a new but modest
institutional framework: a Euro-Mediterranean Council, more frequent
meetings of ministerial councils and a strengthening of the
Euro-Mediterranean Parliamentary Assembly; the creation of two new
entities with shared management, a Committee of Permanent Government
Representatives and a Permanent Commission that would serve as a
secretariat; a proposed Financial Institution for the Mediterranean,
which would be a precursor of a Mediterranean Bank; and in the area
of cultural dialogue, regional application of the so-called ‘Alliance
of Civilisations’. The proposal also features more ambitious
elements, although it still just tries to identify goals without
specifying the fundamental aspects: achieving peace between Israel
and Palestine, closer ties on energy issues, a deeper opening of
markets, curbing environmental deterioration, maintaining ties with
civil society and responsible management of migratory flows.
The differences with the Mediterranean Union proposed by France are
substantial. In the first place, by advocating a Euro-Mediterranean
Union, it includes EU member states that are not on the Mediterranean
coast and grants a prominent role to the European Commission. For
many observers and for some non-Mediterranean member states, this
issue is key. A Mediterranean Union separated from the EU is
unthinkable because in economic terms it would mean renouncing the
use of Europe-wide instruments such as the common trade policy.[11]
In political terms it is important because only by including
non-Mediterranean member states can one expect to retain their
interest in the region and avert a greater imbalance in favour of
Eastern Europe in the EU’s foreign policy.[12]
The proposals that are most in favour of a Mediterranean Union solve
this double problem with a certain degree of haste: the Mediterranean
Union should be built precisely on the sidelines of the EU, with
non-Europeanised policies to which one can apply the principle of
subsidiarity; and the ‘German problem’ can be resolved by
resorting to the mechanism of enhanced cooperation.[13]
A similar focus is seen in the report that the French National Assembly
presented on the Mediterranean Union; it proposes a Mediterranean
Union associated with the EU, made up of ‘permanent’
members (Mediterranean countries) and ‘non-permanent ones’
(non-Mediterranean EU countries), that take part voluntarily on a
case-by-case basis.[14] For all analysts, the spirit of the Union should be one of
‘deepening’ relations, but some feel this is incompatible
with a 32-member Mediterranean Union and that things should start off
with a 5+5 plan which, once momentum is achieved, could extend
naturally to the rest of the EU member states and the Mediterranean
member states.[15]
One must admit that the idea of applying the procedure of enhanced
cooperation can be appealing, if not altogether necessary, especially
after what was agreed to this effect at the Lisbon summit of 2007.
Along those lines, Bichara Khader has proposed a limited
Mediterranean Union inspired by the ‘Nordic dimension’,
what he calls the Priority Regional Partnership. (PRP).[16]
It would consist of enhanced cooperation that involves the eight
Mediterranean members of the EU, plus the Maghreb countries and
Egypt. This geographical proposal is very similar to the 5+5
arrangement that France pushed for in the 1990s.[17]
This brings us to the question of Israel. There are several reasons
for not including the Middle East. Khader says it is pointless to do
so unless there is a Palestinian state. Vasconcelos says that, just
as with the Spanish proposal, no Euro-Mediterranean initiative can
skip over peace in the region as one of its goals. The report from
the Institut de la Méditerranée acknowledges that the
conflict between Israel and Palestine cannot be ignored by the
Mediterranean Union, but says this should not be one of its main
objectives either.
In reality, the proposed Mediterranean Union does not seem to want to
take on politically complicated issues such as the conflicts that
ravage the region, promotion of democracy or respect for human rights
(Sarkozy’s recent proposal to send buffer troops to the
Palestinian territories is totally separate from the Mediterranean
Union). Nor does it seem to want to address economically sensitive
issues such as completing the free trade area with agriculture or
liberalising Mode 4 of the rendering of services in order to
rationalise the movement of workers.[18]
Perhaps it is in these areas where one detects most a certain
Colbertist tone in the French proposal: it speaks of regulated free
trade and the creation of poles of competitiveness, concepts which
smack of protectionism and interventionism. In some ways, rather than
the Barcelona Plus proposed by EuroMeSCo with an eye to the 10th anniversary of the
Barcelona conference,[19] there exists the temptation to call it Barcelona
Minus. This is especially important
because as some analysts note, the situation these days in the
Mediterranean is no easier than it was in 1995, and cannot be tackled
simply with strong will and enthusiastic application of simple
solutions.[20]
A more nuanced alternative is the one in the aforementioned report from
the Institut de la Méditerranée, an idea which might be
thought of as a ‘union of agencies’. The expert group
brought together by the institute proposes an institutional structure
that is much denser than the one in the Spanish proposal, although
paradoxically it warns of the danger of the initiative getting bogged
down in bureaucracy. The proposal salvages some old ideas but always
excludes the EU dimension: it calls for an annual intergovernmental
meeting at the highest level, including the EU, a political
secretariat, a Mediterranean Parliament and a Mediterranean Bank. But
it adds new elements such as a constitutional charter, a sub-national
committee with representation from regions and cities, an Economic
and Social Council that would represent civil society, a sectoral
plan to create a community of knowledge, a sustainable development
commission, a trade arbitration court and a series of specific
agencies and institutions (for water management, energy, scientific
research, a Mediterranean College,[21] etc.).
One less enthusiastic position calls for using the momentum from the idea
of the Mediterranean Union to differentiate the Neighbourhood Policy
between the East and the South. The idea would be to give this policy
a Mediterranean component that would cause the policy to be included
in the Barcelona Process and reform the latter, including recourse to
the mechanism of enhanced cooperation.[22]
Other analysts say the best thing would be to join the two policies,
reform them and apply the Plan of Action that was approved at the
Barcelona Conference in 2005.[23] In fact, in actual practice and once the initial focus of
conditionality in the Neighbourhood Policy has been toned down, there
is nothing in this policy that cannot be developed (or melded into)
the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership. This proposal, which could be
seen as minimalist, is consistent and pragmatic, especially if it is
applied to complete the Barcelona Process. But it might waste an
opportunity to harvest more efficiently the political drive
underlying the French proposal to create a Mediterranean Union.
Finally there is an issue that is key but has not been dealt with
much, perhaps because it was taken for granted. This is the southern
dimension of the Mediterranean Union; in other words, economic
integration among the countries of the southern rim of the
Mediterranean basin. One of the main criticisms of the
Euro-Mediterranean Partnership has been its failure to promote
greater sub-regional integration along the southern rim. This is also
cited as a reason to push for creation of the Mediterranean Union.
Increased integration of the productive systems of the Mediterranean
member states is certainly desirable, but perhaps more politically
than in terms of economics. The potential for trade between small
economies like those of the Mediterranean member states is not great,
compared to the lure of the huge EU market. So one should not expect
an intensification of intra-regional trade flows, which also face
serious economic obstacles. However, these flows should be encouraged
as a source of gains in productive efficiency because their economic
contribution, while probably not decisive, is not insignificant
either.
If intra-regional trade flows reached the levels of, say, MERCOSUR in
its best times, they would go from less than 5% of the total to a
respectable 20%, but this scenario is too optimistic and does not
withstand comparison. It would, however, represent a political factor
in the sense that it would raise the opportunity cost of conflicts.
But the history of integration on the Mediterranean’s southern
rim is not very encouraging.[24]
By way of example, it is difficult to envision a union with real
content that would be able to resolve the difficulties between
Algeria and Morocco which have also paralysed the Union of the Arab
Maghreb. It is true that a Mediterranean Union could not resort to
trade policy, but it might be able to address the issue by building
infrastructure with a regional scope. It is clear that normalisation
of bilateral relations between some states of North Africa is a
pre-requisite for any significant sub-regional project to move
forward.
A Union as the End Result of a Process
At the time this article was written the proposal for a Mediterranean
Union was still vague. We know that it is not a customs union, nor a
single market, much less an economic and monetary union. Nor is it a
deepening of the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership, or a Neighbourhood
Policy designed specifically for the Mediterranean. It is not the
opposite either, we might add. Looking more on the positive side, it
has been baptised as a ‘union of projects’ although some
of the institutional developments point more to a union of agencies
and others suggest a ‘union of companies’. In more
general terms it is the beginning of defining a policy, in which the
sequence and effectiveness of the instruments, and how they will be
assigned to intermediate goals, remains under-specified. But this can
be normal in the early stages of formulating a policy, especially if
it moves somewhat prematurely into the arena of public debate.
The most relevant thing, which sometimes is so obvious it goes
undetected, is that the general goals outlined by Sarkozy coincide,
even in terminology, with the Barcelona Declaration, a re-reading of
which is essential in order to define goals. If the goal is to
achieve a region of shared peace, stability and prosperity, develop
human potential, facilitate understanding among cultures and
exchanges between societies, these are precisely the headings of the
different sections of the Barcelona Declaration. If the objectives
are shared, then that part of the discussion is settled and we can
start thinking about the means to achieve those goals. Even more to
the point, the political drive underlying the idea of a Mediterranean
Union can be used to mobilise the necessary tools and move more
quickly to attain more ambitious intermediate objectives.
In the area of the theory of integration, at least economic
integration, it is difficult to ‘discover the Mediterranean’.
Economic integration has an internal logic that tends to lead to
gradual processes, of which the EU is the greatest exponent:
preferential agreements, free-trade areas, customs unions, single
markets and economic unions. The Barcelona Declaration described
itself explicitly as the foundation of ‘a process that is open
and destined to be developed’. In the economic realm, the first
goal of the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership was to achieve a
free-trade zone, and this is being done gradually. The ultimate goal
of the Neighbourhood Policy is to achieve full participation in the
European single market, with a status potentially similar to that of
the non-EU countries that make up the European Economic Area, or
Switzerland.
Economic (and political) forces recognise these concepts, which make
integration processes predictable, credible and measurable in terms
of how they are being applied and the ambitions that they
transmit.[25] These characteristics make the players incorporate them into their
expectations and reduce the transaction costs of applying them. A
union of projects, or of agencies, is a concept that is difficult to
visualise from a political or business perspective. But it also
difficult to implement theoretically, so it runs the risk of being
perceived as a virtual union. In fact, the suggestion of opting for a
model similar to that of the European Economic Area lacked enough
credibility to make it appealing to countries south of the
Mediterranean, except in those which wanted to move forward on
integration with the EU, such as Morocco. For this reason, the logic
of integration would seem to recommend that we follow the known
sequences and propose first to complete the Euro-Mediterranean free
trade area by including agriculture, then move on to think about
progressing gradually to a single market, in line with the
Neighbourhood Policy.[26]
The Mediterranean Union might be conceived as the last stop in that
process, using the appealing idea of structure-building projects that
improve conditions in the countries south of the Mediterranean and
help remove obstacles to production. This kind of union could meld
the French sense of urgency (there would be projects and a Union) and
demands from the European Commission and the member states for
consistency in Mediterranean policies. This means preserving the
legacy of Barcelona and the Neighbourhood Policy, but also reforming
and rethinking them. One has to keep in mind the preferences of the
member countries south of the Mediterranean, and these are well
known: access to European agriculture and energy markets, more aid,
greater ease in the processing of visas or a more flexible approach
to immigration, among others. We feel a coherently designed union
incorporating those elements would have the following features:
(1) More Europe, Not Less
This is one of the aspects of the Sarkozy proposal that has generated the
most misunderstandings, in both its political and institutional
dimensions. From a political standpoint, having the support all
interested member states and the European Commission seems to be the
only reasonable alternative. To do otherwise would run the risk of
splitting the EU geopolitically in two directions, one looking
southward and the other to the east, and this would aggravate the
very imbalance that the initiative seeks to correct. The civil power
of the EU and its influence in the international arena depend on the
bloc being able to remain united by bringing together the preferences
of its member states. This is particularly true in a region that is
as geopolitically important as the Mediterranean, where the so-called
strategic ‘clash of perceptions’ between the US and the
EU calls for more Europe, not less.[27]>
It is true that an EU of 27 countries is more difficult to coordinate,
and to persuade, than the group of EU countries that border on the
Mediterranean. But the latter also have a weaker negotiating power
and can offer less incentives to the nations of the southern rim in
exchange for greater guarantees on sensitive issues such as
democratisation and human rights. But herein lies the power of the EU
to transform.[28] Although formulas based on the mechanism of enhanced cooperation can
make up for some of that deficit of incentives and negotiating
leeway, they have major limitations and as a whole do not help give
the initiative credibility. Internally, this exposes the debate on
the interpretation of enhanced cooperation: a Europe of variable
geometry or a Europe a la carte.[29] The Mediterranean Union might smack of a Europe a
la carte, in this case that of France.
Article 20 of the Treaty of Lisbon specifies that enhanced
cooperation must ‘further the objectives of the Union, protect
its interests and reinforce its integration process’. In essence, it must strengthen the EU, not divide it. And this kind
of cooperation is authorised as a ‘last resort’ when the
Council deems that its goals cannot be achieved by the EU as a whole
and when at least nine member states take part in the cooperation
initiative. Of course, it does not allow intrusion into areas where
the EU has exclusive jurisdiction, but does allow the use of EU
institutions.
This aspect leads us to the institutional dimension, which we already
raised in mentioning the EU’s role as a force for
transformation. Although the Neighbourhood Policy initiative may have
been conceptualised as a process of ‘Europeanisation without
Europe’, with many unknowns and limitations, it seems plausible
that the modernising effect of southern states adopting the EU
heritage, even just partially and limited to chapters related to the
single market, has major potential.[30] In the case of enhanced cooperation, the Europeanising capacity is
more limited, as the Commission has veto power over actions that fall
under the first pillar of the EU, which includes trade and
development policy. Restricting the Mediterranean Union to operating
in the non-Europeanised realm of foreign policies, on the sidelines
of the EU, seems to be an unnecessary emasculation of the available
instruments, which are already limited.
Even more so, the adoption of initiatives in the framework of
enhanced cooperation can hinder the Europeanisation of new policies
that are relevant to relations with the southern rim states, such as
the emergence of common policies in the areas of energy security or
immigration, for instance. If the focus of operating on the sidelines
of the EU entails a kind of preventive de-Europeanisation, this would
be bad news for the modernisation of the Mediterranean, as the
governments of the southern states would lose the already fragile
reference point of the EU as a united negotiating party. A more
coherent strategy would be for the Mediterranean Union to advocate
greater Europeanisation of the different areas of relations with the
southern states that have not yet been incorporated into common
policies, rather than detach them or prevent their future inclusion
in the EU.
There might be a tactical justification for pressing for a new focus
for the Mediterranean. It is true that France tends to feel that the
Euro-Mediterranean Partnership and the Neighbourhood Policy do not
allow the EU to project its preferences with the scope and intensity
it deems necessary, an argument which other Mediterranean EU member
states might also put forth. But from a tactical point of view, the
negative element should be used only in the right doses and in the
right direction: having a limited course to run, if administered in
excess it could trigger more rejection than acceptance. We feel that
direction should be a greater Europeanisation of relations with the
Mediterranean, promotion of a framework allowing for more convergence
than in the past of the preferences of EU member states that border
on the Mediterranean with those of member states that do not.
Although
Sarkozy seems to have accepted that his proposal remain within the
EU, with EU financing and management, it is also necessary to go
deeper with Europeanisation of the bloc’s policies toward the
Mediterranean. In fact, there are differing interpretations: at the
Lisbon summit it was understood that priority would be given to the
summit to be held with member states, while the French feeling seems
to be that what is important would be the meeting with the countries
of the southern rim, and the results of this would be ‘reported’
to the next EU summit. Germany’s position is firm. It says it
is unacceptable for an issue of this scope not to be agreed at the
full-blown EU level before pushing it publicly, and mainly that the
EU be sidelined. For Spain, the EU dimension is literally a red line
that cannot be crossed, as it has expressed repeatedly in all
meetings, including the 5+5 session in January 2008 in Rabat. Even in
France, and within the administration itself, differing visions
appear to be emerging, with fears that the initiative might end up
setting a precedent that would harm French credibility within the
EU.[31]
(2) A Complete and Operative Union for Formulating Consistent
Policies
All this said, preserving the European dimension and the legacy of
the Barcelona Process and the Neighbourhood Policy should not mask
the gaps inherent in each. Countries on both of the Mediterranean’s
rims share the diagnosis that new European momentum is needed. If the
objective is to anchor the countries of the Mediterranean in liberal
democracy and free-market economics, it is necessary to set a clear
goal, even if is over the long term. This goal, institutionalised in
a Mediterranean Union, is very high-profile. But it should also be
credible, predictable and entail a set of consistent policies, if the
idea is to give the rulers of the southern rim countries the
incentives necessary to speed up economic, institutional and
political reforms.
In order to do this, it is not enough to take Barcelona and
the Neighbourhood Policy and simply add a new area of
activity, be it the environment, energy or co-development. A
Euro-Mediterranean Union that is worthy of its name must offer a
mechanism for long-term economic integration and political
integration: the consummation of the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership
and the Neighbourhood Policy. In short, it should be a union that is
complete in its objectives and the tools placed at its disposal. In
the economic field, it is necessary to advance toward completing
free-trade areas and give the signal that these will not be weakened
with safeguard clauses or by excluding agriculture. From the
institutional perspective, convergence –even gradual and
partial– towards the EU legacy is a very powerful modernization
mechanism for the institutions of the countries of the southern rim.
But political instruments must also be considered, and not just
economic ones (perhaps one of the most evident conceptual errors of
the Barcelona Process, at least in the way it has been applied), in
order to achieve non-economic goals such as peace, respect for human
rights, security, understanding among cultures and democratisation.
This aspect is probably the one that requires the most political
capital and is without a doubt one of the most difficult to tackle.
It needs the transforming power of the EU, but also the adoption of
decisions and mechanisms to make them effective. Besides positive
conditionality, with clear and consistent economic goals, the
initiative must also resort to consistent political tools. Thus, one
cannot advocate democratisation and not accept democratic,
non-violent Islamic movements as interlocutors (not to say rulers).
Nor can one finance most of the budget of the Palestinian Authority
without getting more involved in the creation of a viable Palestinian
state.
In earlier studies we put forth the idea that the Barcelona Process was
based on what we can call an economic syllogism that rests on the
theory of modernisation: free trade and reforms would give rise to a
process of economic development which, in turn, would trigger
pressure from an emerging middle class for democratisation. However,
in the past this strategy has proved to have very clear limits. So a
proposal was put forth to address the issue with a democratic
syllogism: the idea that sometimes, the absence of democratic culture
and institutions not only cannot be resolved with economic
development, but rather the latter cannot happen without democratic
reforms of institutions.[32] The idea of creating a Mediterranean Union seems to run along the
same, somewhat economics-heavy paths (even for the economists) as
those suggested in the Barcelona Process. However, some economies of
the southern rim, such as Morocco or Tunisia, are now mature enough
for the theory of modernisation to take hold there.[33]
In any case, we must keep the new initiative from being used by the
ruling elites in the countries of the southern rim as a ploy to stay
in power. In that case, we will have created another process
dominated by those elites, inviting rejection from everyday people
and from the political opposition, which in many countries is
Islamist. This issue is linked to the idea of EU dialogue with
Islamic movements which are non-violent and respect democracy –a
scenario which the governments of the southern rim see as out of the
question and the Islamic movements themselves are wary of because of
the reticence at the grassroots level–. One possibility would
be to try to co-opt those democratic opposition movements, for
instance by giving priority to small- and medium-sized businesses,
where the economic base of Islamic movements is concentrated. They
see this kind of activity as an opportunity to promote their
political agenda over the medium and long term, so here they might be
receptive to European initiatives.[34]
In general terms, certainly the most relevant question to answer is
this: how can pushing for a Euro-Mediterranean union help meld the
Barcelona Process and the Neighborhood Policy under this new umbrella
without giving up on introducing added value. Merely adding projects
cannot answer this question, but it is interesting to try to identify
the candidates.
(3) A Union in Search of Projects…
The idea of projects serving as catalysts for efforts to bring about
change deserves to be treated with interest. The diagnosis that the
Euro-Mediterranean Partnership is too diffuse and fragmented, and
that its effects lack visibility and appeal, is essentially correct.
Implementation of structure-building projects at the regional level
might alleviate the shortage of incentives and participation that the
Partnership offers the countries of the southern rim. This might also
help facilitate south-south integration in those areas where trade
mechanisms have been unable to overcome the geo-economic
fragmentation of the southern rim of the Mediterranean.
Having argued that the projects have a desirable Euro-Mediterranean
character, the next issue is to identify the sectoral and geographic
areas in which they will be applied. The sectoral approach is
recommendable for addressing the most pressing structural, economic
and institutional weaknesses. The sub-regional dimension seems to be
the most appropriate, given the specificities present in the
Mediterranean basin, maintaining the anchoring approach of
regionalism in those areas where common elements prevail. Meanwhile,
the process of identifying projects should keep in mind their
viability, but not renounce taking on projects in sensitive sectors.
Without trying to be exhaustive and not necessarily in order of
priority, one might consider projects in the areas of rural
development, infrastructure (energy, transport, health, water
resources and development poles) civil society, education, the
environment, small and medium-size businesses and others.
Rural
development is one of the areas in which the consensus among
academics and analysts as to its importance and how it has been
insufficiently addressed by the Barcelona Process is inversely
proportional to the enthusiasm shown by politicians on either rim of
the Mediterranean.[35] In some southern states, nearly half of the working population
depends on farming and the countryside is home to the greatest levels
of poverty. However, traditionally agriculture has been left out of
Partnership Agreements or treated as an exception. The nature of
agricultural and rural challenges does require more than trade; or,
said another way, being able to reap the benefits of trade is only
one aspect, and perhaps not even the most important one, of
modernisation of the agricultural sector. The need to modernise the
sector and prepare it for competition –but above all so it will
play the role assigned to it by the economy in development processes–
makes it a top priority of an approach based on projects.[36] In this case, a Mediterranean scale might be adopted because the
problems are largely shared.
Infrastructure is another key element of the French proposal. The
focus would be sub-regional, with a consequent emphasis on physical
vertebration. In some areas infrastructure is a response to shared
needs, such as for instance energy or transport infrastructure. In
both cases the European Commission has made proposals that have not
quite led to concrete results, and this would be a good opportunity
to breathe new life into them. Europe’s new interest in energy
security could facilitate Europeanisation of the Mediterranean
dimension of this issue. Other kinds of infrastructure that have been
proposed are those related to health care (facilities), management of
water resources and promotion of industrial clusters, but this could
be extended to a variety of public services. The kind of
infrastructure to prioritise will depend more than other kinds of
projects on the kind of financing provided, and above all on whether
the private sector can be persuaded to get involved, as we shall
discuss further on.
The idea of creating poles of competitiveness, which we already
mentioned, is somewhat obsolete these days. The prevailing concept,
much more complex but also more structure-building and promising, is
that of promoting clusters. These are more than just
industrial poles to the extent that they bring together education and
training, participation by companies large and small and from a
variety of countries, as well as civil society. They can be designed
as cross-border, urban or rural (or mixed), sectoral (industrial,
agricultural, services or a combination of all of them). This is
another operating vector which must be retained and developed in
order to try to integrate the macroeconomic dimension into the
macroeconomic approach that has tended to dominate the Barcelona
Process and the Neighbourhood Policy.
However, there are non-economic projects which are essential in the
development of southern rim countries. Institutional reform is in
fact one of the key goals of the Neighbourhood Policy, so there would
be room for that kind of project. One of the areas of operation on
which there is most consensus is that of strengthening civil society.
In this area, progress is very difficult along the southern rim of
the Mediterranean, but under no circumstances should it be abandoned
because of the obstacles posed by the institutional framework and
political pressure from the governments of the region. Another key
institution is the civil service, the reform of which has also been
promoted (and financed) as part of both the Barcelona Process and the
Neighbourhood Policy.
Among its non-economic proposals for a Mediterranean Union, France
stresses education. Analysts agree here as well that this is a sector
in need of improvement. In a first analysis, the proposal to create a
kind of Mediterranean Erasmus programme, while interesting, does not
seem to address the fundamental shortages in the region’s
educational system, which centre around basic education and
vocational training. The French idea seems more geared towards luring
away gifted students than fixing the region’s educational
problems. If it is an extension of, say, the French lycée system (and in Morocco, of Spanish schools), it is not clear how the
project could be of any interest whatsoever to the vast majority of
students in the southern rim. Besides repeating the error committed
by most southern states in stressing university studies when it comes
to spending educational resources, this idea might restrict the
benefits of educational programmes to those who need them the least.
Indeed, workshops or any other vocational training programmes might
have more impact, and potentially broader external effects, than a
broad programme of university exchanges that is costly and difficult
to manage with selection criteria guaranteeing excellence.
Another kind of project, somewhere between institutional and
infrastructure, would be environmental programmes. In fact, in some
proposals they top the list of priorities. And certainly this is an
important issue in which commitments might be easy to attain,
conflicts rare and of scant political sensitivity, and the
possibility of identifying concrete projects and carry them out,
high. In other words, it could done formally at low cost across the
board. This is an issue that politicians love: it sounds great, is
easy to sell, can be defined clearly and is widely accepted. It is a
far cry from democratisation, dialogue with moderate Islamists or
free trade in agriculture, to cite three examples. But it is
difficult to envision major, structure-building projects that will
have real impact on the living standards of the poorest sectors of
the population. This dilemma can be overcome by incorporating the
environment not as a project but as a necessary component of any
project undertaken by the Union. There are clear environmental
components in projects related to rural development, energy,
infrastructure and public services, the strengthening of civil
society or the reform of the environmental policies of the southern
rim states themselves.
Another
relevant aspect is that of launching projects to stimulate
businesses, especially in the area of small- and medium-sized
companies. The private sector’s lack of interest in the
Barcelona Process and the Neighbourhood Policy is one of the
criticisms most commonly made of both initiatives. They are also
usually described as unable to provide incentives for improving
business productivity. In fact, some French proposals seem to
interpret the economic dimension of the Mediterranean Union as a
‘Union of companies’[37] in which the latter can carry out investment plans. This dimension of
the French proposal recalls the US approach that began in Casablanca,
which involved putting business leaders in touch with each other and
through them boosting relations between the two countries, as an
alternative to the Barcelona Process. The idea was thwarted by the
deterioration of the situation in the Middle East. The method was to
hold meetings between businessmen, with a government presence that
was reduced in comparison to what it would be under the Barcelona
system. This business dimension deserves attention because it clearly
constitutes one of the shortcomings of both the Barcelona Process and
the Neighbhourhood Policy: the scant business ties between the north
and south and their reduced presence in a partnership that
essentially exists among governments and bureaucracies, which, in the
case of the southern rim states, are strengthened by this kind of
relationship.
These are, however, two very different dimensions of business activity. In
fact, major companies on either side of the Mediterranean do not seem
to have difficulties in finding each other and discussing their
business plans. The main concern of European companies is the high
level of country risk in the nations of the southern rim, as a result
of which a plan has been proposed to insure their investments.[38] It might be even more important to facilitate the activity of small-
and medium-sized companies. But this is such a broad area that
probably the best way to specify a project adequately is, once again,
through an institutional reform of the context of business activity.
In this way, the results of the mise à
niveau programmes carried out in
Tunisia have been reasonably positive, while in Morocco they have
barely had any effect. It seems more attention is needed for
programmes of technical assistance and training of small- and
medium-sized companies, as the results of the MEDA programmes in this
area have been very meagre.
In any case, the idea of a ‘Union with projects and with companies’ deserves to be explored in detail. But in the process of establishing clear priorities among projects, it is also
necessary to specify what resources are available and with what kind
of financing and management they will be carried out. Certainly, one
key aspect will be the role assigned to companies.
(4)… And Resources to Fund and Manage Them
As we have already stated, perhaps one of the most ambiguous aspects
of the Mediterranean Union proposal are the institutional and
financing factors. The countries of the south ask, quite
legitimately, where the money to fund these projects will come from.
The Barcelona Process and the Neighbourhood Policy have a budget
which, although it might seem small, comes from EU funds and is
therefore quite stable and predictable. The initial French proposal
called for resorting to all kinds of financing, both private as well
as public, including the European Investment Bank, the EU’s
Mediterranean programmes, remittances from emigrants, companies and
even the Gulf Cooperation Council as a way to pool financial
resources.
This issue raises clear problems if the Union is going to exclude the
EU itself, but does not explain how this pool would be formed with
existing resources, and not even if these would be totally subsumed
in the Union, something which would be hard to believe. The private
sector is also called on to finance projects. In general, although
the proposal has not been hammered out in retail, it at least
acknowledges that a mobilization of financial resources is needed, as
well as greater consistency in their management. In other words, the
diagnosis is basically correct: more resources are needed, and
management of them must be improved.
One of the recurring themes of this debate has been the idea of
creating a Euro-Mediterranean Investment Bank. Different versions of
this initiative have the support of the main Mediterranean member
states of the EU, but other members and the European Investment Bank
are not so enthusiastic. We have already said that many analysts feel
that what is needed is not funding, but rather projects worthy of
being funded. But the existence of a financial institution would
indeed show a political commitment and strengthen the degree of
institutionalisation of Euro-Mediterranean relations. Spain, for
instance, has proposed a financial institution for the region, an
approach that could be part of the idea of a union of agencies and
pave the way for a future bank. Again, the logical thing would be to
give such an agency a Euro-Mediterranean dimension.
Another important aspect which we have already mentioned is the concept of
strengthening the role of the private sector in financing
projects.[39] There are projects (energy, public services) which can rely on
strictly private financing schemes and mixed options like the
Public-Private Partnerhips (PPP), and could channel an eventual pool
of resources. However, projects such as rural development, the
strengthening of civil society and civil service reform, to cite just
a few, require financing with public money. One idea suggested in
several proposals is that of trying to use remittances from emigrants
to finance the private sector in the southern rim over the medium and
long term. This aspect is important because many countries receive
significant amounts of remittances, although no mechanism has yet
been suggested that would be attractive and safe for emigrants and at
the same time capable of channelling these savings toward productive
activities. Although it is difficult to design a way to handle these
funds, because in the end they are private transfers, this dimension
certainly demands further study.
As for managing resources, in addition to a financial institution there
are proposals to create other agencies that would be tasked with
specific areas: agencies for water, energy, the environment or
scientific research, as well as a Mediterranean
College.[40] This kind of institutionalisation through agencies with participation
from both sides is appealing. But before creating them without a
strong mandate or a precise mission, it would probably be better to
keep moving forward with existing channels.
(5) A Union for All, But not One with Minimal Scope
The original idea of excluding non-Mediterranean EU countries from the
Mediterranean Union –of creating a G-Med, in the words of
presidential adviser Henri Guaino– stemmed from this alleged
dilemma: a Euro-Mediterranean integration project with a 27-member EU
has no future due to the northern and central European countries’
lack of interest and political commitment to the nations of the
southern rim.[41] But the argument that a 27-member EU is an obstacle blocking the
Mediterranean EU countries from projecting the intensity of their
preferences has as its logical conclusion the need to develop a
deeper process of integration with the nations of the southern rim.
And this can only be achieved consistently within the EU, in the
current framework, if the Mediterranean Union initiative becomes a
goal of all EU and southern rim member states.
However, one should not disregard the idea that following EU
enlargement, a rebalancing of EU policy toward the south is
necessary. Member states bordering on the Mediterranean need to work
harder to show the rest of the members that the southern dimension
requires more resources and new initiatives, and that strengthening
the bloc’s Mediterranean policy is in the strategic interests
of the entire EU. An obsession with procedures and with leaving
existing structures intact can prevent the bloc from taking advantage
of political momentum, and waste resources on pointless controversies
instead of applying the policies necessary to advance toward the goal
of establishing a region of peace and prosperity shared by all, both
Mediterraneans and Europeans.
For this reason, any new initiative should contribute significant
elements, and not limit itself to presenting myriad vague and
unspecified formulas. Such an initiative should show that it not just
a well-meaning label that is void of content. One cannot suggest
something that people (a Union) are not willing to offer, even over
the long term. One cannot simply change the Barcelona brand name for
that of, say, Marseille, and transfer the current content, sprucing
it up with new projects and agencies. It is important to nurture the
interest shown by the French President in reforming and intensifying
the Mediterranean dimension of EU foreign policy, and generating a
predictable and more institutionalised framework for
Euro-Mediterranean relations.
(6) A Union in which Spain Must Play a Role
Finally, for Spain the idea of a union –call it the Mediterranean Union,
Euro-Mediterranean Union or Union for the Mediterranean[42]–
is of vital importance. Aside from the fact that the Barcelona
Process is one of the hallmarks of Spanish foreign policy, the
magnitude of the strategic interests that Mediterranean holds for
Spain means that any initiative aimed at improving relations with the
region should be welcomed. In general, this has been the Spanish
position, trying to preserve the EU nature of the initiative and
fashioning it into an extension of the Barcelona Process. At a
meeting in Rome in December 2007 between Italy, France and Spain to
reach a consensus on the initiative, Prime Minister Jose Luis
Rodríguez Zapatero explicitly referred to it as ‘Barcelona
Plus’. We can only hope that this is the spirit of the
initiative and that it is not just another formula in search of
content.
To avert this risk of all the interest stirred in Spain fading away
by the time of the EU summit called by France for July 2008, with a
Spanish general election in the middle, it is necessary to start
thinking as soon as possible and preparing a solid proposal by then,
one with the greatest possible level of consensus.. So far the
Spanish proposal has been constructive in that it accompanied the
French one and nudged it towards EU channels, which we feel is the
right thing to do. From now on the idea is to propose a Union that
justifies that interest that has been aroused but above all marks a
significant advance with respect to the current duality of Barcelona
Process + Neighbourhood Policy. In the current context the
only ones considered significant advances will be those which offer
the countries of the southern rim appealing political, economic and
social prospects, ones that all their citizens can enjoy, especially
the poorest classes, and not show preference to their economic and
administrative elite, which is unfortunately what has happened in the
past.
Clearly, Spain does not have the powers of political or economic
influence in the region that France does, although they are still
considerable. But Spain does have the ability and creativity to
compete with ideas and co-lead along with France the process that
seems to be getting underway now. Spain should assume that role in
the area of ideas and constructive contributions with its think
tanks, researchers and business leaders. In order to do this it will
be necessary to launch the capabilities of Spanish society to reflect
on the future of the Mediterranean and help stimulate and deepen
relations between the two shores of the sea. Spain boasts
institutions dedicated to studying the Mediterranean, or which
include the region on their agenda, and with no exception they have
all managed to strengthen Spanish abilities on these issues with an
effort worthy of praise. But it lacks an institution like the newly
created Fondation pour la Méditerranée in
France, which adds a strong business-oriented component.
It is not the goal of this study to provide a detailed analysis of
all the mechanisms of operation or the specific proposals which, from
a Spanish point of view, the Mediterranean Union should feature.
However, we can note tentatively and briefly some of the projects in
which Spain should be especially interested, and these are not
necessarily in order of priority.
One of the areas that seems to have yielded a broad consensus is that of energy projects. For
Spain, in this area the Mediterranean dimension is essential, and the
issue can make Spain a key player on energy in the region.[43] The possibilities range from building infrastructure for transport
(gas and electricity) and generation (combined cycle, renewable
energy), where Spanish companies could use the Mediterranean Union
proposal to consolidate their presence in the region. It would also
be interesting, and not just for economic reasons, to try to
participate in the drive France has launched in the area of nuclear
energy.
Other projects that should not be ignored are those related to
agriculture. Over the long term, Spain seeks greater productive
involvement in the agriculture sector of the countries of the
southern rim. Despite the tension that is apparent, in our opinion
over the long term there are more opportunities for complementarity
than risks stemming from competition. Spain has experience in
programs of rural development, encouraging cooperativism, use of
scarce resources such as water, modernisation of facilities and
logistical aspects. Spain could suggest the idea of an Agriculture
Pact with the countries of the southern rim and propose it as a
priority vector of the Mediterranean Union.
Spain should also insist on promoting clusters comprising elements
such as education, training, financing and construction of
infrastructure in specific sectors (agroindustry, health) and areas
(Nador, Tetuan) which can be beneficial for the country and in which
Spain has a comparative advantage for carrying out activities.
Spain should endorse the French proposal for creating a
Mediterranean Bank. But its emphasis should not be simply on
financing major projects, but also feature a line of financing for
small and medium-sized companies and micro-credits to satisfy the
financial needs of the many small businesses that operate informally
and have trouble gaining access to credit. As an innovative feature,
and in line with what we said earlier, one of the goals of such a
bank should be to dissociate itself from supporting the economic
elite exclusively and try instead to appeal to the region’s
ecologically-minded companies.
One issue related to this would be reform of the financial sector.
Although this was not identified in the previous pages as a priority
project, Spain has a highly competitive financial sector which is
present in some of the countries of the region and interested in
penetrating into some of the others. The Spanish banking sector has a
lot of experience in the developing countries of Latin America, where
it has posted strong earnings and helped boost the economies where it
has operated.
Another interesting issue is that of reform of the civil service.
Here, too, Spain has a lot of experience in Latin America, not to
mention its own experience with reforms and with adopting EU
institutions and legislation. This experience spreads through many
realms of government (technical assistance for reform of the justice
system, reforms of the security forces, transparency in privatisation
of state-owned companies, mechanisms for granting contracts for
utilities), but it also has clear business connotations in some of
its dimensions to the extent that Spanish companies are used to
participating successfully in privatisation processes and bidding for
government contracts.
Immigration should also be addressed, but not with
an approach that focuses exclusively on fighting illegal immigration.
Despite the criticism received by the initial proposals for a
Mediterranean Union equipped with a mechanism to control illegal
immigration, it seems evident that the Europeanisation of immigration
is another most frequently cited deficits in Euro-Mediterranean
relations. In any case, although activities related to illegal flows
of immigration might be kept outside the EU so as not to
‘contaminate’ it, there could also be more convergence in
other aspects of immigration policies. There seems to be a certain
consensus on the need to facilitate administrative procedures in the
granting of visas and selecting and training emigrants in their
country of origin. So this could be explored jointly from the least
controversial approach, that of co-development, as suggested in the
initial proposals.
Another element that features in many of the proposals and which
should be a priority for Spain is that of civil protection.
Because of its geographic proximity, this affects Spain as a
participant and can contribute experience and resources, as has
happened in the past. But it is also an area in which Spain has
preferences as a potential beneficiary, for instance with an eye to
dealing with accidents in the Strait of Gibraltar.
Education is also a relevant issue. Although we have said a
bias in favour of university studies should be avoided, Spain might
have an interest in developing this aspect as well. Spanish
universities have a long tradition of developing Arab-studies experts
and this is an important asset, as are Spain’s geographical
closeness to North Africa and the networks that this implies. Spain
certainly has something to contribute in this area. It also boasts
experience in primary and secondary education. But one area in which
Spain’s experience stands out, and which might be better suited
for the countries of the southern rim, is that of vocational
training. The concept of workshops might give good results in this
area and over the long term be more beneficial for the countries of
the south.
Finally, another area of consensus is that of the environment. This issue has been raised explicitly both in the French and Spanish proposals (and the Italian ones). This is certainly an
important question and one in which there are clearly common
interests. It is necessary to devise a series of measures that
respond to the needs of both sets of countries, although keeping in
mind that they might have different priorities. Incorporating the
environment to the traditional goals of the Barcelona Process might
add value in several ways.
The environment would be a good example of the importance of coming
up with a series of consistent proposals that Spain could contribute
to, and which affect rural development, water resources, public
services, the strengthening of civil society, renewable energy, and
others. In all of them, and in the management of the places where
they overlap, Spain has the ability to carry out projects. The same
can be said of the so-called clusters. These combine issues related
to training (at different levels, but especially vocational
training), local development (including rural development), small-
and medium-sized companies, civil society, financial issues, etc.
Conclusions
In short, the French proposal still needs to be fleshed out, and
provided with specific content and procedures if it is to amount to a
real step forward in Euro-Mediterranean relations. So far the idea of
a Mediterranean Union has been short on specifics. It has not been
consistent with the EU institutional framework or the policies
included in the Barcelona Process and the Neighbourhood Policy. True,
these are major limitations but at the same time there is room for
completing the proposal and giving it greater consistency and
coherence. And there is also room for the countries concerned to give
greater voice to their own preferences.
Spain’s position with regard to the proposed Mediterranean Union should be
active, never passive –not just in the areas of politics but
also in putting forth ideas in the area of academics and business–.
To this end it would be a good idea to have a clear map of
preferences, and of priorities within these preferences, in which
Spain could make a greater contribution in light of those preferences
and its comparative advantages. In other words, what is needed is a
proposal that spells out Spain’s capabilities very clearly.
This study aims only to launch debate on the issue, with the
conviction that Spain’s decision to back the Mediterranean
Union project is correct, but also out of the belief that if it wants
to co-lead it, Spain must contribute constructive ideas.
Gonzalo Escribano
Professor of Applied Economics-Economic Policy, UNED, Madrid
Alejandro Lorca
Professor of Economic Analysis, Autonomous University of Madrid
[1] For instance, the Avicena Report of April 2007,
conceived as a strategic analysis of the role of France in the
region. It sees a need for a new and more strong-willed thrust in
French policy in the Maghreb and the Middle East. Some analysts had
already warned of France’s tendency to view Euro-Mediterranean
relations through the prism of strategic competition with the US,
for instance D. Schmid (2005), ‘France and the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership: The Dilemmas of a Power in Transition’,
in H. Amirah Fernández and R. Youngs, The Euro-Mediterranean Partnership: Assessing the First Decade,
Elcano Royal Institute and FRIDE, Madrid.
[3] For example, in the case of Germany
see A. Jünemann (2005), ‘German Policies in the Mediterranean’, in H. Amirah Fernández and R.
Youngs, op. cit.; also V. Perthes (1998), ‘Germany and the Euro-Mediterranean
Partnership: Gradually becoming a Mediterranean State’, EuroMeSCo papers,
nº 1. For the Scandinavian countries, see T. Melasuo (2005),
‘El euromediterráneo cultural y social, y la ampliación
de la Unión Europea. Una mirada desde las sociedades nórdicas’, Quaderns
de la Mediterrània, nr 5.
[4] G. Escribano (2007), ‘Marruecos y la Unión
Europea: 10 años después de la conferencia de
Barcelona’, in A. Fernández-Ardavín and M. Goded
(coordinators.), Europa y Marruecos.
Diez años del Proceso de Barcelona,
Ed. Biblioteca Nueva, Madrid.
[5] The concept of ‘selected immigration’
was one of the pillars of Sarkozy’s campaign, and consists
basically of the host country (in this case France) having the right
to select immigrants on the basis of its needs and interests.
[6] It goes on to say: ‘France also seeks to
rebalance Europe’s foreign policy options: the pan
Euro-Mediterranean geopolitics advocated by the Neighbourhood Policy
is of no use to the French, who, in the face of the central European
prospect, prefer Mediterranean specificity’. Article by
Dorothée Schmid in El País, 15/VII/2007.
[7] For example, the IPEMed-CALAME proposals (2005),
‘Quatorze travaux pour la Méditerranée’.
[8] Commission des Affaires Étrangères
de l’Assemblée Nationale, Rapport d’Information
sur le thème ‘Comment construire l’Union
méditerranéenne’, 5/XII/2007.
[9] M. Emerson and N. Tocci (2007), ‘A Little
Clarification, Please, on the Union of the Mediterranean’, CEPS Commentary, 8/VI/2007.
[10] Ideas expressed by Miguel Ángel Moratinos
in his article ‘Del Proceso de Barcelona a la Union del
Mediterraneo’, in which he calls President Sarkozy’s
proposal most timely (El País, 2/VIII/2007).
[11] Emerson and Tocci (2007), op.
cit.
[12] A. Vasconcelos (2007), ‘¿Unión
Euromediterránea?’, in IEMed and CIDOB, MED2007.
Anuario del Mediterráneo, Barcelona.
[13] Institut de la Méditerranée (2007), Report of the Expert Group Convened by the Mediterranean Institute on the Mediterranean Union Project,
October 2007. One of the authors of the current paper, working as a
member of the expert group, expressed the need to preserve an EU
dimension in the Mediterranean Union. The report acknowledges this
position but rejects it.
[15] Approach adopted by Le Cercle des Economistes
(2007), 5+5=32. Feuille de route pour
une Union Méditerranéenne, Ed. Perrin, Paris.
[17] Mainly in the 5+5+1 arrangement (including the EU) noted by Martín
Ortega in ‘Cómo España y la UE pueden contribuir
a la formación de un Magreb unido’, Memorando OPEX,
nr 24/2006.
[18] Mode 4 of rendering of services refers to those
services in which the party rendering them travels physically to the
country where the service is provided and as a result this causes
greater flexibility in the movements of the work force.
[19] ‘Barcelona Plus: Towards a
Euro-Mediterranean Community of Democratic States’, EuroMeSCo
Report, April 2005.
[21] This element seems a bit inopportune. Rather than
create such an institution, the location and management of which
would probable cause problems, the best thing would be to strengthen
the existing networks of research, EuroMeSCo and Femise. Their work
is worthy of praise, both for their academic results achieved and
providing ideas to governments and the EU Commission, as well as for
having generated true epistemological communities and boosted
research teams in the nations south of the Mediterranean.
[22] Emerson and Tocci (2007), op.
cit.
[23] F. Bataller and J.M. Jordán (2007), ‘La
propuesta de Sarkozy: ¿dónde está el valor
añadido?’, Afkar/Ideas,
nr 15, autumn.
[24] G. Escribano (2002),
‘Euro-Mediterranean versus Arab Integration: Are they
Compatible?’, in B. Laabas, Arab
Development Challenges of the New Millennium, Ashgate, Aldershot.
[25] Even though the way we refer to this new phase of
the process is not the most relevant issue, ‘it is probably
preferable to call things by their name and as of today this is a
partnership’, as stated by S. Florensa (2007), ‘Límites
del proyecto de Unión Mediterránea: hacia una nueva
fase del Proceso de Barcelona’, Afkar/Ideas,
nr 15, autumn, p. 61.
[26] However, some French proposals have specified
models like that of APEC, a non-institutionalised forum strictly for
discussing issues related to economic cooperation among countries of
the Pacific rim. But in comparison, adopting this model would scale
down the goals of the Barcelona Declaration and entail less
integration than that envisioned in the Neighbourhood Policy. See Beckouche (2005),
‘Le PECC (Pacific Economic Cooperation Council), ou l’IPEMed
version Pacifique’, IPEMed, April.
[27] H. Amirah Fernández (2007), ‘La UE,
EEUU y el mundo musulmán’, ARI nº 83/2007, Elcano
Royal Institute.
[28] M. Leonard
(2005), Por qué Europa liderará el siglo XXI,
Taurus, Madrid.
[29] See the Preliminary Study of the Treaty of Lisbon
by José Martín y Pérez de Nanclares for the Elcano Royal Institute.
[30] G. Escribano (2005), ‘¿Europeización
sin Europa? Una reflexión crítica sobre la
Política de Vecindad para el Mediterráneo’,
Working Paper nr 194/2005, Elcano Royal Institute.
[31] See the significant criticism by Jean-Pierre
Jouyet, French secretary of state for European affairs, of the
presidential initiative in Le Figaro, 25/I/2008.
[32] M. Jerch, A. Lorca and G. Escribano
(2005), ‘De Barcelona a Luxemburgo: la política
euromediterránea’, Política Exterior, nr 107.
[33] On the limits to the process of
transformation in the Magreb region, consult the collective work
coordinated by Y. Zoubir and H. Amirah Fernández (2008), North Africa:
Politics, Region, and the Limits of Transformation, Routledge, London and New York.
[34] G. Escribano (2007), ‘Islamismo y política
económica en Marruecos’, Working Paper nr 3, Casa Árabe, September.
[35] IEMed (2006), La
agricultura y la Asociación Euromediterránea: retos y oportunidades, Barcelona.
[36] An idea expressed by G. Escribano
and A. Lorca (2000), ‘Vers un Pacte Agricole Méditerranéen?’,
in Groupe d’Études et des Recherches sur la
Méditerranée (eds.) Annuaire
de la Méditerranée 1999,
Publisud, Paris and developed further in Lorca, Escribano, Arce and
Mahía (2006), ‘Hacia un Pacto Agrícola
Euromediterráneo’, in IEMed, op. cit. Also see IPEMed-CALAME, op. cit., and FEMISE (2003), Rapport
sur l'impact de la libéralisation agricole dans le contexte
du partenariat euro-méditerranéen.
[37] For instance, the recently created Fondation pour
le Monde Méditerranéen, already prefigured by the
IPEMed and earlier by Calame, defines itself as ‘the
instrument through which companies will define and carry out their
development projects for the region’.
See: www.ipemed.coop. This case involves a union of major companies, even though this
proposal has the stated goal of encouraging small- and medium-size
companies.
[38] This idea has been taken up again by the French
National Assembly (op. cit.),
but it has triggered some concern. As it would use EU funds, the
main beneficiaries might be specific member states with a longer
tradition of business activity in those countries. In any case the
member states have their own investment insurance schemes that cover
at least part of this.
[39] In the words of Jean-Louis Guigou, the
Mediterranean Union should have ‘entrepreneurs who back the
policy and contribute, with cross-funding, to draw the two shores of
the Mediterranean closer through the medium of the economy’,
in ‘La gran transformación del mundo mediterráneo’, Afkar/Ideas,
nr 15, Autumn 2007, p. 64.
[40] Institut de la Méditerranée, op.
cit.
[41] It is interesting to recall the
sovereignty-minded origins of Mr Guaino and his well-known
euroscepticism.
[42] The names given successively under the initial
French proposal, the Spanish proposal and the Rome meeting of
December 2007 between Romano Prodi, Nicolas Sarkozy and José
Luis Rodríguez Zapatero.
[43] G. Escribano (2006), ‘Seguridad Energética:
concepto, escenarios e implicaciones para España y la UE’,
Working Paper nr 33/2006, Elcano Royal Institute; A. Mañé
and A. Lorca (2007), ‘África
del Norte: su importancia geopolítica en el ámbito
energético’, Working Paper nr 11/2007, Elcano Royal Institute.
|
The Elcano Royal Institute does not necessarily share the views expressed by the authors of its Working Papers and other texts which may appear on its Website or in any other of its publications.The Institute’s primary goal is to act as a leading forum for research and analysis and to stimulate informed discussion of international affairs, particularly with regard to those issues which are most relevant from a Spanish perspective, and which will be of interest to policy-makers, business leaders, the media, and society at large.
|
© The Elcano Royal Institute 2002-2013 |
|