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20/11/2008
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Real Instituto Elcano
20 November 2008
 
 
 
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Home> Latin America
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The Argentine Agricultural Scene: Recent Changes, Future Challenges and Latent Conflicts (ARI)
ARI 111/2008 (Translated from Spanish) - 10/11/2008
Roberto Bisang
Thanks to its inherent potential and recent technological and organisational changes, Argentina’s farming sector has developed the capacity to generate major revenue from abroad. This forces a re-think of how and why the government intervenes (among other ways, by taxing exports) in the process of appropriating such excess production.

The Energy Situation in Bolivia (ARI)
ARI 118/2008 (Translated from Spanish) - 10/11/2008
Hugo del Granado Cosio
The nationalisation of the hydrocarbon industry in Bolivia marks the culmination of a long, emotional battle by the ruling party to assert control over the country’s natural resources. The signing of new contracts with oil companies displayed the pragmatism and flexibility with which it can negotiate nationalisation measures, and the degree of influence that Hugo Chávez has come to exert over the Bolivian government.

The US and Latin America: What Lies Ahead? (ARI)
ARI 140/2008 - 3/11/2008
Ray Walser
On 4 November American voters will choose the 44th President of the United States. While the voters have learnt much about the US presidential candidates’ views on Iraq, Afghanistan and other key foreign policy issues, little has been said about relations with Latin America. Despite its importance to the US, Latin America has not emerged as a significant topic of debate in the campaign.

An Overview of the Cuban Economy, the Transformations Underway and the Prospective Challenges it Faces (WP)
WP 31/2008 (Translated from Spanish) - 3/11/2008
Jorge Mario Sánchez Egozcue and Juan Triana Cordoví
This working paper provides an overview of the state of the Cuban economy, revising the results from the nineties, the reforms introduced and their effects and the impact of relations with the EU and U.S.

What Latin America can Expect from the Next US President (ARI)
ARI 135/2008 - 22/10/2008
Peter Hakim
What can Latin America expect from the next US President, and what can the next US President expect from Latin America?

The Political Transformation of the Cuban Regime, Seen Through the Perspective of Conflict Resolution (WP)
WP 32/2008 (Translated from Spanish)
Juan Antonio Blanco
The goal of this analysis is to provide conclusions and practical recommendations on possible policies to be followed by governments which, acting as third parties, wish to facilitate the success of that second option, which foresees a gradual, agreed and non-violent democratic transformation of the Cuban regime.

Armed Forces Participation in Populist Nationalist Projects in Latin America (WP)
WP 36/2008 (Translated from Spanish) - 10/10/2008
Sonia Alda Mejías
Given the existence of a common problem that to differing degrees affects the entire region, it is worth considering whether the changes being introduced by the current populist nationalist governments include measures that will ensure civilian control of the armed forces in the sphere of defence.

Cuba: Democracy for a Possible Nation (WP)
WP 30/2008 (Translated from Spanish) - 16/9/2008
Manuel Cuesta Morúa
The aim of this Working Paper is to provide some conclusions and practical recommendations regarding possible policies to be implemented by governments interested in favouring -as third parties- the success of a gradual democratic transformation of the Cuban regime on the basis of an agreed and non-violent process.

Paraguay: A Shift to the Left under Lugo? (ARI)
ARI 99/2008 - 11/9/2008
Andrew Nickson
President Lugo’s swearing-in as the President of Paraguay marks a major turning-point in the country’s history.

The Lima Summit: A Meeting of Euro-Latin American Asymmetry (ARI)
ARI 58/2008 (Translated from Spanish) - 8/7/2008
Günther Maihold
The fifth edition of the LAC-EU Summit did not manage to escape the contradictions present at the previous meetings, although this time the Latin American and Caribbean Presidents clearly articulated their desire to receive a European response to the increasing heterogeneity in Latin America within a framework of fundamental asymmetry in the bi-regional relationship.

In Spain's interest: A Committed Foreign Policy
(Translated from Spanish) - 2/7/2008
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
An address by the Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero at the Prado Museum (Madrid) on 16 June 2008 organised by the Elcano Royal Institute, with the collaboration of the following Spanish institutions: CIDOB Foundation, FRIDE, ICEI and INCIPE. (This text is also available in French: Dans l’intérêt de l’Espagne: une politique extérieure engagée).

The Cuban Economy at the Crossroads: Fidel Castro’s Legacy, Debate over Change and Raúl Castro’s Options (WP)
WP 19/2008 - 11/6/2008
Carmelo Mesa-Lago
This Working Paper evaluates the current status of the Cuban economy (Fidel Castro’s legacy), analyses the debate that emerged after a speech Raúl delivered on 26 July 2007 and explores the course of possible reforms.

Potential Flashpoints in South America (II): Could the Situation in Bolivia Spark a Regional War? (ARI)
ARI 45/2008 (Translated from Spanish) - 10/6/2008
Carlos Malamud and Carlota García Encina
The critical political, institutional, ethnic and social situation in Bolivia today, aggravated by the referendum on political autonomy held in several regions, could lead to a worrying level of regional instability.

The Fragile, Back-and-forth Relationship between Venezuela and Colombia (ARI)
ARI 40/2008 (Translated from Spanish) - 9/5/2008
María Teresa Romero
Under the governments of Álvaro Uribe and Hugo Chavez, political and diplomatic relations between Venezuela and Colombia have been increasingly fragile and back-and-forth, jeopardising ties and the precarious stability in the Andean region.

 
 
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