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Links between Resource Extraction, Governance and Development: African Experience (ARI)
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ARI 171/2010 - 13/12/2010
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Richard Auty
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This ARI addresses the analytical and empirical links between resource
extraction, governance and development, with a focus on the
resource-curse thesis. The rent curse is rooted in policy failure, which
the theory of rent cycling attributes to the impact of rent on elite
incentives and also on development trajectory. The paper provides some
examples of conditions that have facilitated this process in the
context of Sub-Saharan Africa.
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The Policy Challenge for Sub-Saharan Africa of Large-Scale Chinese FDI (ARI)
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ARI 169/2010 - 30/11/2010
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Raphael Kaplinsky and Mike Morris
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The existence of large state-owned Chinese firms and private investors
engaged in investing primarily, but not exclusively, in resource and
infrastructure sectors in SSA (Sub-Saharan Africa) is a major
preoccupation in economic and political circles. In order to understand
it, Chinese investment has to be differentiated into four different
types, and its distinctive characteristic unpacked –ie, the bundling
together of aid, trade and FDI (foreign direct investment)–. This has
major policy implications for how SSA should relate to Chinese
investors in order to maximise available opportunities.
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Southern Sudan Before the ‘Referendum for Freedom’ (ARI)
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ARI 167/2010 - 24/11/2010
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Daniel Large
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Southern Sudan’s historic referendum on whether to stay in or secede from a united Sudan is rapidly approaching. The political tide is flowing toward an independent country but the politics of Sudan’s North-South political transition remain beset with challenges.
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Cultural Change for a Bearable Climate (ARI)
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ARI 163/2010 - 17/11/2010
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Erik Assadourian
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Stabilising the climate and curbing ecological decline more broadly will take nothing less than transforming cultural systems so that living sustainably becomes as natural as living as a consumer feels today. To do that, it will be necessary to harness leading societal institutions just as consumer interests did in the past century, when they so effectively normalised consumerism.
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Brazilian Cooperation: a model under construction for an emerging power (ARI)
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ARI 143/2010 (Translated from Spanish)
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Bruno Ayllón Pino
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The media, analysts and markets have focused a great deal of attention on the consolidation of Brazil as an emerging power, mainly in the economic and global governance spheres. However, there is little information and few studies on cooperation as an instrument of Brazilian foreign policy or on Brazil’s role in the new architecture of aid, despite its increasing presence in Africa and its leading role in debates on international development.
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The Cuban Monetary and Financial Jigsaw Puzzle (ARI)
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ARI 148/2010 (Translated from Spanish) - 17/11/2010
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Pavel Vidal Alejandro
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The 2008-09 balance of payments crisis and a succession of errors in economic policies have resulted in new monetary and financial complications in the Cuban economy, to be added to the costs and distortions of currency duality.
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Is China doing enough to protect the environment? (ARI)
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ARI 141/2010 (Translated from Spanish) - 11/11/2010
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Pablo Bustelo
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Following the recent worsening of problems linked to pollution, it is
worth looking at the measures implemented so far by the Chinese
government in order to safeguard the environment.
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China in Ghana: Easing the Shift from Aid Dependency to Oil Economy? (ARI)
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ARI 149/2010 - 15/10/2010
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Giles Mohan
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The author examines recent changes in the Ghanaian aid and investment
landscape as China has stepped up its relations with this donor
‘darling’. Recent oil discoveries further transform the financing
scenarios and more established donors are concerned about the riskiness
of this. These tensions reveal wider differences in approaches to
development and the desires of many African governments which could
herald big changes in the ethos and practice of development.
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Governance, Growth and Development (ARI)
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ARI 138/2010 - 17/9/2010
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Mushtaq H. Khan
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The promotion of ‘good governance’ has become one of the pillars of
development policies proposed by a large majority of development aid
agencies. It is based on the view that ‘good governance’ is a
pre-requisite for development. The author critically reviews the
relationship between governance, growth and development and draws
implications that are relevant for Sub-Saharan African countries.
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Economic Intelligence: An Operational Concept for a Globalised World (ARI)
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ARI 134/2010 - 14/9/2010
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Claude Revel
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Economic security policies consist in the prevention and avoidance of all situations that can disrupt the life of firms or States. In France, economic security is seen through the prism of ‘economic intelligence’, which aims to encompass all aspects of globalised risks and opportunities.
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Changing the Course of MDGs by Changing the Discourse (ARI)
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ARI 132/2010 - 8/9/2010
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Jan Vandemoortele
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The review meeting on progress towards the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) that will take place in September 2010 in New York is likely to focus on the usual troika of growth, aid and governance. This paper argues that in order to accelerate the course of MDGs, the discourse at the September meeting should be radically different.
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What Did Sudan Vote For? (ARI)
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ARI 128/2010 - 31/8/2010
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Justin Willis
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Sudan held national elections in April 2010 for the
first time in many years. The elections were part of the peace process
which began in 2005. This paper discusses the context of the elections
and the multiple problems which affected them, and at how the events of
the election will affect the final stages of the peace process.
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Cyber Security in Spain: A Proposal for its Management (ARI)
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ARI 102/2010 (Translated from Spanish) - 29/7/2010
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Enrique Fojón Chamorro and Ángel F. Sanz Villalba
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Social, economic and cultural relations are increasingly dependent on
information and communication technologies and infrastructures
(cyberspace), making it necessary to devise a national security system
(cyber security) that can manage the risks that threaten their adequate
operation.
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India’s Transition to Global Donor: Limitations and Prospects (ARI)
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ARI 123/2010 - 23/7/2010
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Dweep Chanana
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India has increasingly sought to expand its activities as a donor, both
to reposition itself as an emerging power and to use aid as an
instrument for engaging with other developing countries. This ARI looks
at the current state of India’s donor programme as regards both its
size and scope, identifies India’s role within the multilateral aid
scenario and evaluates the challenges and prospects for further growth.
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Africa, AFRICOM and the Path to Stability
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19/7/2010
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Vicki Huddleston
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Lecture by Ambassador Vicki Huddleston, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Africa in the Office of the Secretary of Defense, at the Círculo de Bellas Artes (Madrid) on 17 June 2010.
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Back to Earth: Nuclear Weapons in the 2010s (ARI)
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ARI 110/2010 - 25/6/2010
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Bruno Tertrais
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Throughout 2009 it seemed that both nuclear non-proliferation and
disarmament were going to make real, fast and lasting progress.
Unfortunately, reality bit back and 2010 has shown scant progress in
disarmament and not much success in non-proliferation.
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The EU’s Internal Security Strategy (ARI)
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ARI 75/2010 (Translated from Spanish) - 22/6/2010
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Félix Arteaga
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The EU Justice and Home Affairs Council approved its Internal Security
Strategy on 25 February 2010.
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How to Break the Siege of Gaza? (ARI)
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ARI 106/2010 - 21/6/2010
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Lev Luis Grinberg
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This ARI looks at the siege of Gaza from a historical and political
perspective and suggests what the international community can do to end
it and prevent a further escalation of the Israeli-Palestinian
conflict.
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Greece: Looking Beyond the Economic Crisis (ARI)
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ARI 91/2010 (Translated from Spanish) - 17/6/2010
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Irene Martín and Elías Dinas
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This ARI examines how the economic crisis in Greece has come hand in
hand with a crisis of political representation that makes it difficult
to implement austerity measures.
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China and Africa: A Mutually Opportunistic Partnership? (ARI)
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ARI 99/2010 - 17/6/2010
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Patricio González Richardson
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The relationship between China and Africa is positive for both sides
and the exchange of essential natural resources for infrastructure to
foster economic development is more likely to benefit than paternalistic
and failed aid strategies.
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Russian Security Policy and Cooperation with the West (ARI)
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ARI 97/2010 - 16/6/2010
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Marcel de Haas
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The West must find new ways to cooperate with Russia now that Vladimir
Putin and Dmitry Medvedev have used its energy revenues to transform
the country into a resurgent power and developed an assertive policy
towards the West.
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Too Big a World? Lula, Brazil and the Middle East (ARI)
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ARI 62/2010 (Translated from Spanish) - 17/5/2010
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Günther Maihold
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The new activism of the Brazilian government and its President, Luiz
Inácio Lula da Silva, in the Middle East has opened up a new front for
Brazil’s foreign policy, with significant risks to the chances of its
experienced leader engineering a successful outcome.
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Electoral Blow to the Reunification of Cyprus (ARI)
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ARI 74/2010 - 21/4/2010
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William Chislett
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The defeat of Mehmet Ali Talat in the presidential
election of 18 April in the internationally unrecognised Turkish
Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) and the victory of Dervish Eroglu,
the Prime Minister, dealt a potentially severe blow to the chances of
reunifying Cyprus, the only divided country in Europe.
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New Changes and Old Challenges in the Economic Governance of the Eurozone (ARI)
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ARI 71/2010 - 20/4/2010
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Clara Crespo
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The tenth anniversary of the creation of the euro coincided with the
most severe economic crisis since the Great Depression of the 1930s.
And it did so amid uncertainty over the ratification of the Lisbon
Treaty. Its entry into force will allow for some improvements, such as
greater economic coordination, but some of its weaknesses will remain.
Despite this, as a whole the eurozone will probably emerge strengthened
from the crisis.
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Energy Security in Central Asia: Infrastructure and Risk (ARI)
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ARI 1/2010 (Translated from Spanish) - 19/4/2010
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Félix Arteaga
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The energy infrastructures running through Central Asia face endogenous
and exogenous structural risks that could affect supplies if they
materialise and Central Asian countries fail to develop adequate
protection mechanisms, either on their own or with outside help.
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The Impact of the International Financial Crisis on Brazil (ARI)
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ARI 38/2010 (Translated from Spanish) - 12/4/2010
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José Roberto Mendonça de Barros
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This ARI examines the impact of the global financial crisis on the
Brazilian economy and the ways in which the country has managed to
react positively to the ensuing challenges, without overlooking the new
challenges that it will have to face in the future.
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The Slow Pace of Reform Clouds the Libyan Succession (ARI)
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ARI 45/2010 - 11/3/2010
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Ronald Bruce St John
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In the uncertain and shifting dynamics of Libyan politics, effective
power today rests in the hands of the Leader and a few trusted advisors
in a system firmly grounded in family ties and tribal loyalties and
buttressed by the military and various security organisations.
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Hugo Chávez’s Third Devaluation (ARI)
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ARI 24/2010 (Translated from Spanish) - 8/3/2010
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Ronald Balza Guanipa
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The devaluation is the consequence of accelerated internal public
spending funded through oil revenues. Although spending won Hugo Chávez
votes, a significant number of voters may now be feeling the negative
effects of devaluation.
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The Defeat of the Concertación Coalition and the Alternation of Power in Chile (ARI)
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ARI23/2010 (Translated from Spanish) - 5/3/2010
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Carlos Huneeus
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The second round of the Chilean elections on 17 January 2010 handed
victory to the opposition, putting an end to a run of four governments
led by the centre-left Concertación por la Democracia coalition,
in power since the end of the military regime of General Augusto
Pinochet (1973-90). This is hugely significant because it signals the
return of the right wing to the La Moneda presidential palace after no
less than 52 years.
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Can the Euro Compete with the US Dollar?: The View from the BRICs (ARI)
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ARI 26/2010 (Translated from Spanish) - 5/3/2010
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Miguel Otero Iglesias
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As things now stand, for the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India and
China) the euro poses no threat to the US dollar from a material
standpoint. However, as far as ideas are concerned, there has in fact
been a change in the status quo of the international monetary system.
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The US in Brazil’s Foreign Policy (ARI)
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ARI 31/2010 (Translated from Spanish) - 3/3/2010
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Carlos Malamud and Carola García-Calvo
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Brazil has opted for its own foreign policy in Latin America and
clashed at times with the new US Administration. What is the state of
relations between Brazil and the US? Can Brazil become the leader of
South America and take a place on the world stage?
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Developing India’s Surface Transport Capability: The Case of Road Infrastructure (ARI)
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ARI 37/2010 - 25/2/2010
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Rajeev Anantaram
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The Government of India is making concerted efforts to reduce transport
bottlenecks, particularly on roads. This ARI discusses the new policy
initiatives formulated as part of an evolving regulatory regime,
particularly those intended to encourage greater private sector
participation and foreign direct investment.
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Event / “Think Global - Act European II”
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4 March 2010
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Notre Europe, Egmont, GKI and Elcano Royal Institute
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 “Think Global - Act European II”. The contribution of 14 European think tanks to the Spanish, Belgium and Hungarian Trio Presidency of European Union.
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The Challenges of Dealing with Yemen’s Deep Crises (ARI)
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ARI 29/2010 - 4/2/2010
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Abdullah Al-faqih
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President Saleh’s foremost concern is to keep total economic and
political power in his own hands as long as he lives, and to hand it
down to his son afterwards. The US and the international community are
concerned with the threat posed by al-Qaeda to regional and
international peace and many educated Yemenis are concerned about the
potential for tension between Saleh’s goal and that of the
international community.
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India’s African Engagement (ARI)
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ARI 10/2010 - 19/1/2010
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Peter Kragelund
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The April 2008 India-Africa Forum Summit not only
marked the zenith of India-African cooperation following intensified
cultural, political and economic interactions between India and African
countries, but also the increased competition with China over access to
Africa’s resources and markets. The author reviews India’s development
cooperation with African economies.
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