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ARI (Analisis of the Real Instituto Elcano) : U.S. - Transatlantic Dialogue
The Vienna Summit between Latin America / the Caribbean and the EU: relative success despite low expectations ARI 59/2006 (Translated from Spanish) - 3.7.2006 Günther Maihold The fourth EU–Latin America / Caribbean Summit was held on May 11-12, 2006, in Vienna, Austria. The results suggest that the process has a future, but that it needs to be significantly strengthened for more substantial biregional relations
How the Demand for Oil Drives American Foreign Policy ARI 74/2006 - 23.6.2006 Soeren Kern One of the most intractable national security challenges facing the United States today is its over-dependence on oil supplied from the most unstable parts of the world
America and Spain: renewing a strategic partnership 21.4.2006 Kurt Volker A keynote speech by Kurt Volker, Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs, provided during the CSIS /Elcano Royal Institute dialogue on U.S.-Spain bilateral relations (3 April, 2006). The third edition of these dialogues focused on four main issues facing the U.S.-Spanish relations: security and reconstruction in Afghanistan, democracy promotion in North Africa, Europe’s energy policy and security, the struggle against global terrorism, and political change in Latin America
Where Are the Neo-Cons? ARI 42/2006 - 6/4/2006 Soeren Kern The revised ‘National Security Strategy of the United States of America’, dated March 2006, explains the strategic underpinning of American foreign policy. It is the first revision of the original security doctrine developed by the Bush Administration in September 2002. The central thesis of the new strategy is that spreading democracy is the best way to build a better world. It also recognises the unique opportunities and formidable challenges posed by globalisation. While the revised document leaves US strategic priorities basically unchanged from before, they are restated in a tone that is much more diplomatic. They are also reformulated in an approach that is more pragmatic
George W. Bush’s Visit to the Indian Subcontinent (ARI) ARI 39/2006 (Translated from Spanish) - 5/4/2006 Eva Borreguero George W. Bush’s recent tour of South Asia concluded satisfactorily with Washington’s success in simultaneously bolstering relations with India and Pakistan, an unprecedented achievement. The American administration’s strategic realism has allowed it to achieve a triangular balance by which the two nations have agreed to accept the indirect benefits to be derived from the new situation
Can Afghanistan Be Rebuilt? ARI 30/2006 - 2.3.2006 Soeren Kern An international donor conference held in London has generated substantial new commitments of aid money for Afghanistan. The support comes amid a volatile security situation in the battered country and growing disillusionment among ordinary Afghans over the slowness of reconstruction
What Can Canada Teach Europe About Multilateralism? ARI 17/2006 - 17.2.2006 Soeren Kern The first Conservative government in Canada in more than a decade has pledged to recover the country’s lost geopolitical influence by increasing spending on defence and by improving relations with the United States
Can Multilateralism End the Nuclear Standoff with Iran? (ARI) ARI 13/2006 - 6.2.2006 Soeren Kern Meeting in an emergency session on 4 February, the 35-nation decision-making board of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) voted by an overwhelming margin to send Iran’s nuclear dossier to the United Nations Security Council. The move, which marks an important turning point in international diplomacy towards Iran, initiates a process that could end in punitive sanctions for Tehran if it fails to convince the world that its nuclear programme is for peaceful purposes only. The United States and several other countries believe Iran is trying to build a nuclear weapon. The decision to report Iran to the Security Council reflects a backroom compromise between the United States, Britain and France, which want immediate action on Iran, and Russia and China, which are seeking a delay. As a result, the Security Council will not decide on any concrete action until early March in order to give Iran a one-month grace period to comply with IAEA demands. In any case, it remains far from certain whether the often feckless Security Council will be able to prevent the need for military action to change Tehran’s behaviour, and thus turn Iran into a showcase example of effective multilateralism
The United States, Germany and the New Balance of Power in Europe ARI 9/2006 - 20.1.2006 Soeren Kern The meeting paved the way for an easing of tensions between Germany and the United States after three years of friction. In what Merkel called the opening of a ‘new chapter’ in US-German relations, she promised to work closely with Washington to achieve a common approach to the nuclear crisis in Iran. The two leaders also laid the groundwork for greater cooperation in the war on terror. And in an important shift in German policy, Merkel proclaimed that ‘NATO is the forum’ for transatlantic discussions about security. As American strategists digest all the good news, however, they will be most happy about her indirect repudiation of the long-standing Franco-German axis. Merkel’s efforts to strengthen Germany’s bilateral ties with pro-American allies such as Britain and Poland will restore to Berlin its traditional role as mediator between Europe and America. Merkel’s ascendancy will therefore re-establish a healthy balance in Europe, one that is Atlanticist in outlook
Why Bush Still Matters ARI 2/2006 - 12.1.2006 Soeren Kern US President George W. Bush, battered by a year of political setbacks, enters 2006 hoping to regain control of his legislative agenda and nurture a new democracy in Iraq, the make-or-break issue of his presidential legacy
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