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Home> Latin America>> ARI
Latin America - ARI
The Merida Initiative: Challenges in the Fight against Crime and Drug Trafficking in Mexico (ARI)
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ARI 130/2007 (translated from Spanish) - 18/12/2007
Raúl Benítez Manaut
The Presidents of Mexico and the US agreed that Mexico would receive an aid package totalling US$1.4 billion over three years. The package was called the Merida Initiative so as to avoid being compared to the controversial Plan Colombia.

Outside Players in Latin America (II): Iran (ARI)
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ARI 124/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 4/12/2007
Carlos Malamud and Carlota García Encina
This paper examines Iran’s motives for intensifying its presence in Latin America in the past two years under the guidance of the Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez.

The Armed Forces as a Political Party: Chávez’s New ‘Geometry of Power’ (ARI)
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ARI 117/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 3/12/2007
Luis Esteban González Manrique
The President of Venezuela, Hugo Chávez, was convinced of the success of his constitutional reform proposal, prepared under the ley habilitante, or enabling law, which gave the Executive full powers to legislate in key areas. The new constitution, which was to establish unlimited presidential re-election, would have come into effect in 2008 if it had been approved by the 2 December referendum. One of the main reforms was to redefine the role of the Venezuelan Armed Forces (Fuerzas Armadas Nacionales, FAN).

The Presidential Elections in Guatemala (ARI)
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ARI 119/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 3/12/2007
Carlos Sabino
The presidential elections in Guatemala were won by Álvaro Colom, the representative of Unión Nacional de la Esperanza (National Union of Hope, UNE). His presidency, which will begin in January, will face a complex agenda, including public order and security issues, as well as the need to maintain economic growth.

Venezuela: A Crossroads for its Production Development Model (ARI)
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ARI 107/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 1/11/2007
Leonardo V. Vera
In the midst of the biggest oil boom in the last three decades, Venezuela is advancing towards a new production model which is set to pose major challenges.

Brazil in Mexico’s Foreign Policy: The Quest for a More Dynamic Relationship (ARI)
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ARI 94/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 31/10/2007
Juan Pablo Soriano
Mexico is seeking to re-launch its presence in Latin America by enhancing its political and commercial relations with Brazil. The two countries have different regional integration and international insertion projects, but have adopted a more pragmatic approach to their relations in order to prevent their differences from generating instability in the region.

Cuba, the Pending Transition (ARI)
ARI 104/2007 - 4/10/2007
Marifeli Pérez Stable

This article analyses the question of succession that is already beginning to emerge in Cuba. The key question is whether the regime that replaces the current one will manage to stabilise a new status quo similar to that of China or Vietnam.


The Media in Post-Castro Cuba (ARI)
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ARI 42/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 4/5/2007
Iris Cepero
In the context of the process of succession to power currently underway in Cuba, there are several possible scenarios for the island’s media in the post-Fidel era. The history of Cuba’s media in the revolutionary period, the experiences of the USSR and other Eastern European socialist republics in the wake of the fall of the Berlin Wall and the special circumstances of China are some of the factors to be taken into account.

Costa Rica: Steadily Coming Closer to Central America (ARI)
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ARI 22/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 22/3/2007
Jaime Ordóñez
This paper analyses the challenges of governability facing Costa Rica during the second mandate of Oscar Arias (2006-10) in a national and international context that is very different from that of his first mandate (1986).

Energy in Bolivia (ARI)
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ARI 13/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 28/2/2007
Hugo del Granado
The nationalisation of hydrocarbons in Bolivia marked the end of a long struggle involving protests and political slogans by the ruling party in relation to the country’s natural resources. The signing of the new Operating Contracts with oil companies has made evident the pragmatism and flexibility with which it can negotiate nationalisation measures, as well as the degree of influence of Hugo Chávez on the Bolivian government.

Modernising National Defence: The Chilean Case (ARI)
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ARI 11/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 28/2/2007
Marina Malamud
Chile’s process of State reform has made progress in many spheres of the public administration; however, the modernisation of the Ministry of Defence is still pending, partly due to a heated internal political debate.

Hugo Chávez and the Future of Venezuelan Oil (II): The Looting of PdVSA and the Threat to its Production Levels (ARI)
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ARI 15/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 27/2/2007
Paul Isbell
This second part of the analysis concentrates on Chávez’s use of PdVSA to promote his social, political and geopolitical aims and the implications of this (ab)use for the future of the Venezuelan oil sector.

Hugo Chávez and the Future of Venezuelan Oil (I): The Resurgence of Energy Nationalism (ARI)
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ARI 14/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 26/2/2007
Paul Isbell
The recent oil price boom has generated unprecedented revenue for the Venezuelan government. However, it is far from clear that Hugo Chávez’s oil policy will ultimately benefit the broad masses of Venezuelans, to say nothing of the billons of energy consumers around the world.

The Alliance Between the People and the Armed Forces in Evo Morales’ Social Transformation Project (ARI)
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ARI 3/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 22/2/2007
Sonia Alda
Surprisingly, Evo Morales has made the armed forces a major priority. This has sparked widespread interest in the Bolivian government’s proposed defence reform and any possible contradictions within it.

The Other War that Washington is Not Winning (ARI)
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ARI 27/2007 - 20/2/2007
Miguel Díaz
In a speech delivered last March, the US Attorney General Alberto Gonzales characterised the war against the Central American youth gangs, and the Mara Salvatrucha (MS-13) in particular, as second only to the war against al-Qaeda in importance. Unfortunately, much like the war against international terrorism in Iraq, the US is faring poorly in combating the gangs.

Ecuador: Surprises and Prospects (ARI)
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ARI 2/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 31/1/2007
Simon Pachano
The Ecuadorean elections ended in a triumph for Rafael Correa in the second round and with the overthrow of the dominance of the traditional parties in Congress. These two results could give rise to far-reaching changes in the political system of one of Latin America’s least stable countries.

Latin America and the Security Council (ARI)
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ARI 125/2006 (Translated from Spanish) - 29/1/2007
Carlos Malamud
The election of a non-permanent member to represent Latin America on the United Nations Security Council became a duel between Venezuela and the US, with most of the countries in the region remaining almost entirely passive.

 
 
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