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ARI (Analisis of the Real Instituto Elcano) : Latin America
Bush versus Kerry: The Economy in the Balance? (ARI - Part III) ARI Nº 164/2004 - 29.10.2004 Paul Isbell Beyond what each candidate broadly claims he would do with the economy, and given the global economic context, what is most likely to happen in the alternative economic scenarios of a Bush or a Kerry Presidency?
The Latino Vote in 2004 ARI Nº 157/2004 - 19.10.2004 Rodolfo O. de la Garza This article explores how electoral structures and partisanship interact with the size and distribution of the Hispanic population to shape the role Latinos will play in the 2004 presidential election
Calle Ocho and the Embargo: The Evolution of Cuban American Views on US-Cuba Policy[1] ARI Nº 140/2004 - 20.9.2004 Richard A. Figueroa This ARI analyses the influence of Hispanics on American foreign policy by focusing on the important role that Cuban Americans have played in maintaining a hallmark policy of the United States in fighting Communism: the Cuban Embargo
Development prospects for Paraguay under the government of President Duarte Frutos ARI Nº 128/2004 - 20.7.2004 Andrew Nickson Plagued by political corruption, the recent economic performance of Paraguay has been dismal. For the first time since the transition to democracy began in 1989, the government of President Duarte Frutos is now laying the basis for improved governance and sustainable development
Hispano-Argentine relations and Basque terrorism ARI Nº 116/2004 (Translation from Spanish) - 30.6.2004 Carlos Malamud On 17 June the Argentine federal judge Claudio Bonadío threw out the request for extradition of the presumed Basque terrorist Jesús María Iriondo presented by the Spanish judge Baltasar Garzón. The aim of this article is to analyse how this will affect bilateral relations between Spain and Argentina, which of late both sides had been attempting to improve
Access to Justice: Reflections on the Concept, the Theory and its Application to Latin America’s Judicial Reforms ARI Nº 109/2004 - 9.6.2004 Linn Hammergren Access to justice has become a central theme in Latin American judicial reforms. Its apparent simplicity belies considerable ambiguity as to its precise meaning, the benefits it confers, and thus the methods whereby it is best advanced. While often interpreted as just a question of getting more people to court, for at least the last three decades observers have noted the inadequacy of this definition. Once it is discarded, the implications for programmes to enhance access are far less clear. This short essay reviews some of these issues and suggests an alternative, if not exactly easier, way of defining and operationalizing the concept
Latin America and human rights in Cuba ARI Nº 75/2004(Translation from Spanish) - 5.5.2004 Carlos Malamud Meeting at its Geneva headquarters on April 15, the United Nations Human Rights Commission voted in favour (22 to 21, with 10 abstentions) of a resolution on the state of human rights in Cuba. Like every year, it was one of the key moments at the meeting of the Commission, which once again confronted the governments of Washington and Havana. The Latin American vote was decisive
The Brazilian economy in Lula’s first year (Part II): the search for stability and the challenge of international insertion ARI Nº28/2004 - 17.3.2004 Alfredo Arahuetes García In the first part of this piece of research we analysed the performance of the Brazilian economy in 2003 and the key role assigned to fiscal policy in winning back the confidence of the financial markets and stabilising prices. In Part II we look at the state of the economy from an international standpoint, the difficulties encountered in reducing international vulnerability and Brazil’s complex insertion in the process of international globalisation in order to determine the possibilities of strengthening the balance of payments, Brazil’s ability to attract foreign investment and ways of improving the country’s liquidity and solvency ratios
Truths and Untruths Concerning the Summit of the Americas ARI Nº 8/2004 (Translation from Spanish) - 11.2.2004 Carlos Malamud The recent Special Summit of the Americas, held in Monterrey, Mexico, awoke considerable interest among the international press. But press accounts of what took place relied more on commonplace than on analysis; journalists present proved better at description than serious reflection
Towards a Cuba without Castros ARI Nº 6/2004 (Translation from Spanish) - 27.1.2004 Alcibíades J. Hidalgo Although simply an academic question for half a century, Cuba without Fidel Castro is now knocking on the door. Will it be succession, transition, peaceful change or another cycle of national violence? From here on, many parties –both in Cuba and elsewhere, including Europe– will play a role in the uncertain Cuban future
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