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International Terrorism - WP |
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Afghanistan and Lebanon: Assessment of the Jihadist Risk to Spain (WP)
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WP 8/2008 (Translated from Spanish) - 11/3/2008
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Miguel Luparelli Mathieu, José Antonio Mathés and Andrés Montero Gómez
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This analysis is based on a game theory model which assumes the premise that the behaviour of Jihadist groups (taken generally, and al-Qaeda in particular) and of States is rational and responds to strategic choices. It begins with an introduction to the context which situates Spain and global Jihadist groups on opposing sides of the game board of strategic interests. There follows an analysis of each of the scenarios and their implications in the strategies of Jihadist organisations, as well as their influence on Spanish foreign policy and international security policy decisions.
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Will America’s New Counterinsurgency Doctrine Defeat al-Qaeda? (WP)
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WP 1/2008 - 10/1/2008
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Sebestyén L. v. Gorka
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This paper discusses the concept of global insurgency and deals with the existing canon of COIN theory and case studies. It also looks at the connection between the practice of counterinsurgency and the broader world of politics and war–fighting. The document close with a discussion as to exactly how much the ‘Long War’ is in fact understandable as a form of COIN and whether al–Qaeda is truly an insurgent organisation.
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