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Is International Terrorism What We Thought It Was? An Empirical Study of the Global Neosalafist Jihad in 2004 WP33-2005 - 3.11.2005 (Translated from Spanish, Revised & Extended Version) Fernando Reinares The current form of international terrorism is often characterised as a particularly new phenomenon. However, an empirical study of its main actors, scenarios, consequences and targets during the year 2004 indicates that international terrorism is to a greater extent a paradigm of conflicts inherent in the Islamic world itself than of a clash between civilisations
Fear or Falsehood? Framing the 3/11 Terrorist Attacks in Madrid and Electoral Accountability WP24-2005 - 5.5.2005 José A. Olmeda This paper explores the following aspects of the terrorist attacks of 11 March 2004 in Madrid: Failures of organisation, anticipation and learning in the system of security crisis management (early alert and strategic surprise, information policy, police and intelligence leaks to the opposition and media, partisan politicisation of terrorist attacks) in comparison with the effective operation of the emergency respons; Whether the PP government mismanaged its relations with other elites and journalists, especially as it was unable to find compelling schemas that supported its main line of argument (‘the ETA authorship frame’) during the days before the election, while prime minister J.M. Aznar lost control of the frame because of his lack of credibility; and Under these circumstances, elite opponents and oppositional journalists could attain as much influence over framing as the government, and developed their own line assigning blame to the government (‘the government is lying’ frame), winning the both frame contest and the elections.
War, Terrorism and Elections: Electoral Impact of the Islamist Terror Attacks on Madrid WP13-2005 - 6.4.2005 (Translation from Spanish) Narciso Michavila The impact of the ‘3/11’ terrorist attacks (March 11, 2004) on the Spanish elections held three days later has been the subject of speculation of all kinds. Twelve months later, the time has now come to compare and contrast the hypotheses that have attempted to explain an unexpected electoral result. New data is provided here to help determine the direction and the magnitude of the influence of the attacks on the March 14 elections
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