The analyses are short pieces -of around 3,000 words- on aspects of current international affairs considered to be of relevance to Spain, its foreign policy or its security. In broad terms ARIs are intended to have a predictive bearing on events.

North Korea and the US: no deal towards a workable and sustainable deal?

Ramón Pacheco Pardo. ARI 36/2019 - 27/3/2019.

This analysis argues that the failure of the US and North Korea to reach an agreement in Hanoi could actually lead to a workable deal that both parties agree with and that can become sustainable over time.

China’s ‘new type of security partnership’ in Asia and beyond: a challenge to the alliance system and the ‘Indo-pacific’ strategy

Alice Ekman. ARI 35/2019 - 26/03/2019.

This paper analyses China’s new regional security architecture, currently promoted by Xi Jinping. So far, the initiative has remained largely unnoticed, in contrast to the ‘Indo-pacific’ version but may have significant consequences for the regional and world security governance.

Tokyo’s ‘Free and Open Indo-Pacific’: quality infrastructure and defence to the fore

Axel Berkofsky. ARI 34/2019 - 14/3/2019.

This paper analyses the scope and quality of Tokyo’s ‘Quality Infrastructure’ development policies and initiatives in East and South-East Asia and the expansion of Japanese security and relations with the US, India and Australia. All of this in the context of Japan’s ‘Free and Open Indo-Pacific’ (FOIP) policy in and towards the region.

Nigeria’s 2019 elections: so many choices, so difficult to choose

Ojobo Ode Atuluku. ARI 23/2019 - 22/2/2019.

The 2019 Nigerian elections comes at a time of great challenges for the nation, in economic, security and other terms. With 73 candidates competing, only two seem to be serious contenders for the role. However, both seem to lack aspects of leadership that Nigeria needs.

The EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement and the revitalisation of the international economic liberal order

Gabriel Felbermayr. ARI 22/2019 - 21/2/2019.

The EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement will have significant effects on the bilateral relation and the international liberal economic order.