The analyses are short pieces -of around 3,000 words- on aspects of current international affairs considered to be of relevance to Spain, its foreign policy or its security. In broad terms ARIs are intended to have a predictive bearing on events.

The ‘dark side’ of digital diplomacy: countering disinformation and propaganda

Corneliu Bjola. ARI 5/2019 - 15/1/2019.

For diplomatic institutions, protecting themselves against disinformation and propaganda by governments and non-state actors remains a problem. This paper outlines five tactics that, if applied with a strategic compass in mind, could be helpful for MFAs and embassies.

The political expansion of evangelical churches in Latin America

Carlos Malamud. ARI 131/2018 (English version) - 12/12/2018.

The presence of evangelical churches in the political life of various Latin American countries has increased significantly in recent years.

Sri Lanka and great-power competition in the Indo-Pacific: a Belt and Road failure?

Mario Esteban. ARI 129/2018 - 28/11/2018.

This paper looks at the situation in Sri Lanka and the impact of the new Chinese Belt and Road Initiative. It further analyses the effects of great-power competition on Sri Lanka and the other countries in the Indo-Pacific region.

Algerian presidential elections and the energy reform agenda

Gonzalo Escribano. ARI 128/2018 (English version) - 26/11/2018.

A new hydrocarbon law seems imminent in Algeria and progress has been made in improving the country's relations with international oil and gas companies. However, it appears that the introduction of substantive reforms will have to wait for the 2019 presidential elections.

What foreign policy now for Brazil?

Carlos Malamud. ARI 120/2018 - 12/11/2018.

On 1 January 2019 Jair Bolsonaro will become the next President of Brazil. What could be the key elements of the new Administration’s foreign policy?