The analyses are short pieces -of around 3,000 words- on aspects of current international affairs considered to be of relevance to Spain, its foreign policy or its security. In broad terms ARIs are intended to have a predictive bearing on events.

A logic of its own: the external presence in the Sahel

Nina Wilén. ARI 132/2020 - 24/11/2020.

The current instability in the Sahel has attracted a heavy international security presence to the region which has taken on a logic of its own. Yet there is a need to reflect on how the international presence and local power dynamics mutually shape each other to gain a more comprehensive understanding of why current efforts to stabilise the situation have fallen short.

Is the UNSC an obstacle to a geopolitical EU? Principled pragmatism and the legitimacy of CSDP deployments

Vasileios Theodosopoulos. ARI 124/2020 - 4/11/2020.

The legitimation of military Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP) deployments will be an important aspect of the EU’s endeavour to evolve into a principled geopolitical power.

Fortress Europe: an authoritarian-populist construct?

Aitor Pérez. ARI 122/2020 - 30/10/2020.

According to civil society organisations, EU policies concerning vulnerable people in third countries –including migration, asylum and foreign aid– are on a regressive trend. This coincides with the rise of authoritarian-populist parties in European countries.

Refugees welcome? Cross-European public opinion on asylum seekers following the 2015 crisis

Sandra Bermúdez. ARI 119/2020 - 27/10/2020.

This study examines the preferences regarding solidarity and asylum seekers following the 2015 refugee crisis, by comparing different European countries, and how opinions on the issue have evolved over time.

Implications of the UK’s Russia Report for the next National Cyber Security Strategy

Danny Steed. ARI 116/2020 - 13/10/2020.

This article assesses the implications of the recent Russia Report ahead of the development of the next cyber security strategy for the UK due in 2021.