Public health in Korea and Europe: contemporary challenges and possibilities for cooperation
Mario Esteban & Ramón Pacheco-Pardo (Eds). Working Paper 02/2021 (printed version) - 29/7/2021.
#H2Med: hydrogen’s drivers and barriers in the Mediterranean
Gonzalo Escribano. Elcano Policy Paper 2/2021 (English version) - 11/6/2021.
Afghanistan: the reasons why the Taliban’s return to power will have an impact on the Jihadist threat in western Europe
Fernando Reinares. ARI 101/2021 (English version) - 26/11/2021.
With the Taliban governing in Kabul it is likely that the central command of al-Qaeda as a global Jihadist structure will find Afghanistan and Pakistan a much more permissive space for planning new attacks in the western world, something that in the short and medium term will have a greater impact on European societies.
Consolidating the EU in the area around the Strait: Gibraltar
Alejandro del Valle Gálvez. ARI 99/2021 (English version) - 23/11/2021.
This analysis examines the presence of the EU as an actor in the territorial issues and disputes in the area around the Strait of Gibraltar, as well as Spain’s strategic options, placing the spotlight on Gibraltar.
Heightened tensions in the Maghreb
Haizam Amirah Fernández. Expert Comment 31/2021 (English version) - 22/11/2021.
The two main powers in north-west Africa, Algeria and Morocco, find themselves locked in a spiral of accusations, threats and hostile gestures that show no sign of relenting in the near future.
The limits of like-mindedness in cyberspace
Stefan Soesanto. ARI 98/2021 - 19/11/2021.
In reaction to the Ghostwriter campaign, the EU’s High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Josep Borrell, published a Declaration on 24 September 2021 on the ‘respect for the EU’s democratic processes’. Surprisingly, the Declaration inherently failed to rally widespread public support among Western democracies in Europe and beyond.
The pandemic’s impact on globalisation
Iliana Olivié & Manuel Gracia. ARI 96/2021 - 16/11/2021.
This paper is the latest update of previous analyses of the impact of the pandemic on globalisation, seen through the results of the Elcano Global Presence Index.
The new reality of fiscal policy and its implications for Spain
Federico Steinberg. ARI 95/2021 - 15/11/2021.
Public debt has risen sharply during the pandemic. Paradoxically, however, in advanced economies it now appears to be more sustainable than before the crisis. But will this situation persist?
Financing for development: what role for post-pandemic development in low- and middle-income countries?
Annalisa Prizzon. ARI 91/2021 - 04/11/2021.
The COVID-19 crisis could leave long-term scars on economic growth and social development in many low- and middle-income countries. The international financial response should step up its efforts to support countries that did not have enough fiscal space for large-scale support to their households and firms.
European Strategic autonomy and Spain’s interests
Félix Arteaga, Raquel García, Ignacio Molina, Andrés Ortega, Miguel Otero, Charles Powell & Federico Steinberg. 02/11/2021.
This paper aims to provide ideas to better understand the concept of European strategic autonomy as well as to make it match Spain’s interests, such as preserving an open economy and maintaining good relations with the US.
Valedictory dispatch: looking back on 20 years of Spain, and ahead
William Chislett. Working Paper 03/2021 (printed version) - 29/10/2021.
In this Working Paper the author looks back on almost 20 years covering Spain for the Elcano Royal Institute and ahead to the country’s challenges.
The Polish Recovery Plan: a careful step toward energy transition
Bartosz Bieliszczuk. ARI 87/2021 - 25/10/2021.
The Polish National Recovery and Resilience Plan (NRRP) amounts to €35.97 billion, of which more than €21.8 billion (60% of the funding) is allocated to ‘Green energy and reducing energy consumption’ (€14.31 billion) and ‘Green, smart mobility’ (€7.51 billion). The plan is more conservative on climate action than these figures suggest but will advance the Polish energy transition and impact Polish energy policies.
The governance structures of Spain and Italy: are their PNRRs overambitious?
Alessandra Bonissoni. ARI 85/2021 - 19/10/2021.
How do the governance structures of the Plans for National Recovery and Resilience (PNRRs) of Spain and Italy compare?
What’s in the German ballot box for European integration? Continuity and change
Funda Tekin & Ilke Toygür. ARI 83/2021 - 13/10/2021.
The analyses in this paper show that the next German government will also be a pro-European one. There are, however, various necessary changes when it comes to European integration, where the new German government could play a constructive role.
The 19th of July: divided or united in cyberspace? From the EU and NATO to Five Eyes and Japan
Stefan Soesanto. WP 11/2021 - 04/10/2021.
Based on the public information available as of the time of writing, this Working Paper aims to disentangle and explain what occurred on 19 July. To the author’s knowledge this is the first ever case study to take a deep look into a coordinate attribution campaign.
The Moroccan elections of 2021: a new political architecture for a new development model
Bernabé López García & Said Kirhlani. ARI 81/2021 (English version) - 01/10/2021.
The National Rally of Independents (RNI) party won a threefold victory in the parliamentary, municipal and regional elections held in Morocco on 8 September 2021
German elections: more continuity than change
Miguel Otero Iglesias. Expert Comment 29/2021 - 29/9/2021.
The key question before last Sunday’s German elections, the first without Angela Merkel in 16 years, was to know whether they will lead to continuity or change.
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