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The Economic Crisis and the Emerging Powers: Towards a New International Order? 20/2/2012 Robin Niblett The real challenges to the existing international order will come not from the established or emerging powers, but from global forces that are beyond their control and also from those non-state entities and groups which seek to undermine the process of globalisation that links all states and societies ever closer together.
Challenges facing the international community in addressing peace-building priorities in Guinea-Bissau 14/3/2011 Joseph Mutaboba Remarks by Joseph Mutaboba, Special Representative of the Secretary-General  for Guinea-Bissau, on the peace-building priorities in this country at the Elcano Royal Institute (Madrid) on16 February 2011.
China in Africa: Seven Myths (ARI) ARI 23/20011 - 8/2/2011 Deborah Brautigam Sensationalism and rumours cloud our ability to understand China’s growing engagement in Africa, and to craft appropriate responses. This paper dissects seven common myths on China in Africa.
‘Failed States’ in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Review of the Literature (ARI) ARI 5/2011 - 14/1/2011 Jonathan Di John The concept and measurement of ‘failed states’ is not generally helpful in understanding the economic and political realities in Sub-Saharan Africa.
Africa and Climate Change: Impacts, Policies and Stance Ahead of Cancún (ARI) ARI 173/2010 - 15/12/2010 Raúl Iván Alfaro-Pelico This analysis reviews the effects of climate change in Africa, the response measures undertaken in the continent and the expected position of African countries in Cancún, Mexico.
The ‘Resource Curse’: Theory and Evidence (ARI) ARI 172/2010 - 15/12/2010 Jonathan Di John Mineral and fuel abundance does not determine either the political or economic trajectory of less developed countries.
Links between Resource Extraction, Governance and Development: African Experience (ARI) ARI 171/2010 - 13/12/2010 Richard Auty This ARI addresses the analytical and empirical links between resource extraction, governance and development, with a focus on the resource-curse thesis. The rent curse is rooted in policy failure, which the theory of rent cycling attributes to the impact of rent on elite incentives and also on development trajectory. The paper provides some examples of conditions that have facilitated this process in the context of Sub-Saharan Africa.
The Policy Challenge for Sub-Saharan Africa of Large-Scale Chinese FDI (ARI) ARI 169/2010 - 30/11/2010 Raphael Kaplinsky and Mike Morris The existence of large state-owned Chinese firms and private investors engaged in investing primarily, but not exclusively, in resource and infrastructure sectors in SSA (Sub-Saharan Africa) is a major preoccupation in economic and political circles. In order to understand it, Chinese investment has to be differentiated into four different types, and its distinctive characteristic unpacked –ie, the bundling together of aid, trade and FDI (foreign direct investment)–. This has major policy implications for how SSA should relate to Chinese investors in order to maximise available opportunities.
Southern Sudan Before the ‘Referendum for Freedom’ (ARI) ARI 167/2010 - 24/11/2010 Daniel Large Southern Sudan’s historic referendum on whether to stay in or secede from a united Sudan is rapidly approaching. The political tide is flowing toward an independent country but the politics of Sudan’s North-South political transition remain beset with challenges.
China in Ghana: Easing the Shift from Aid Dependency to Oil Economy? (ARI) ARI 149/2010 - 15/10/2010 Giles Mohan The author examines recent changes in the Ghanaian aid and investment landscape as China has stepped up its relations with this donor ‘darling’. Recent oil discoveries further transform the financing scenarios and more established donors are concerned about the riskiness of this. These tensions reveal wider differences in approaches to development and the desires of many African governments which could herald big changes in the ethos and practice of development.
Governance, Growth and Development (ARI) ARI 138/2010 - 17/9/2010 Mushtaq H. Khan The promotion of ‘good governance’ has become one of the pillars of development policies proposed by a large majority of development aid agencies. It is based on the view that ‘good governance’ is a pre-requisite for development. The author critically reviews the relationship between governance, growth and development and draws implications that are relevant for Sub-Saharan African countries.
What Did Sudan Vote For? (ARI) ARI 128/2010 - 31/8/2010 Justin Willis Sudan held national elections in April 2010 for the first time in many years. The elections were part of the peace process which began in 2005. This paper discusses the context of the elections and the multiple problems which affected them, and at how the events of the election will affect the final stages of the peace process.
Africa, AFRICOM and the Path to Stability 19/7/2010 Vicki Huddleston Lecture by Ambassador Vicki Huddleston, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Africa in the Office of the Secretary of Defense, at the Círculo de Bellas Artes (Madrid) on 17 June 2010.
China and Africa: A Mutually Opportunistic Partnership? (ARI) ARI 99/2010 - 17/6/2010 Patricio González Richardson The relationship between China and Africa is positive for both sides and the exchange of essential natural resources for infrastructure to foster economic development is more likely to benefit than paternalistic and failed aid strategies.
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