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Spain’s Main Multinationals: Building on their Success (WP) WP 29/2010 - 1/9/2010 William Chislett Spain’s main multinationals are going from strength to strength. The investments and acquisitions made abroad over the last 15 years or so are increasingly profitable and significantly reducing the reliance on a domestic market that is in the doldrums. But for these investments some of these companies would barely survive the downturn in their home market.
What Did Sudan Vote For? (ARI) ARI 128/2010 - 31/8/2010 Justin Willis Sudan held national elections in April 2010 for the first time in many years. The elections were part of the peace process which began in 2005. This paper discusses the context of the elections and the multiple problems which affected them, and at how the events of the election will affect the final stages of the peace process.
The Belgian EU Presidency Setting Europe Back into Action and Laying the Future Institutional Groundwork (ARI) ARI 126/2010 - 3/8/2010 S. Andoura Belgium took over the Presidency of the EU on 1 July 2010 from Spain and began it in the midst of a national political crisis.
A New Composite Global Terrorism Threat to Western Societies from Pakistan? Making Sense of the January 2008 Suicide Bomb Plot in Barcelona (WP) WP 28/2010 - 2/8/2010 Fernando Reinares The actors behind the past twarthed attacks in the Spanish city denoted an intriguing combination which, indicative of the operational limitations faced by Al Qaeda and early manifestation of the Punjabi Taliban network, reflected an evolving terrorism threat to the West related with Pakistan.
Cyber Security in Spain: A Proposal for its Management (ARI) ARI 102/2010 (Translated from Spanish) - 29/7/2010 Enrique Fojón Chamorro and Ángel F. Sanz Villalba Social, economic and cultural relations are increasingly dependent on information and communication technologies and infrastructures (cyberspace), making it necessary to devise a national security system (cyber security) that can manage the risks that threaten their adequate operation.
Prospects for North Korea-South Korea Relations after the Cheonan Incident (ARI) ARI 125/2010 - 28/7/2010 Choi Kang This ARI explores the situation in the Korean peninsula after the sinking of the Cheonan on 26 March 2010 and stresses the need for a new South Korean policy towards the North.
India’s Transition to Global Donor: Limitations and Prospects (ARI) ARI 123/2010 - 23/7/2010 Dweep Chanana India has increasingly sought to expand its activities as a donor, both to reposition itself as an emerging power and to use aid as an instrument for engaging with other developing countries. This ARI looks at the current state of India’s donor programme as regards both its size and scope, identifies India’s role within the multilateral aid scenario and evaluates the challenges and prospects for further growth.
Uncertainty in Climate Change (WP) WP 25/2010 - 22/07/2010 A.T. Grove and E. Lopez-Gunn This Working Paper reviews the main reasons why definite and conclusive evidence in the field of climate change is almost an impossibility. It analyses the main elements that explain natural climatic change and reflects on the high level of uncertainty in the system, which in many ways is inherent to the system itself, and presents the latest evidence.
The Criminalisation of an Immigrant Population (ARI) ARI 120/2010 - 21/7/2010 Doris Marie Provine Arizona’s Senate Bill 1070, that goes into effect on 29 July, criminalises the failure to carry immigration documents.
‘Innovating Europe’ in troubled times: a first assessment of Spain’s EU Presidency in 2010 (ARI) ARI 115/2010 (Translated from Spanish) - 20/7/2010 Ignacio Molina After a very rough six months, Spain completes the first rotating Presidency of the EU to be held under the Lisbon Treaty.
Africa, AFRICOM and the Path to Stability 19/7/2010 Vicki Huddleston Lecture by Ambassador Vicki Huddleston, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Africa in the Office of the Secretary of Defense, at the Círculo de Bellas Artes (Madrid) on 17 June 2010.
Cyprus: Time for a Negotiated Partition? (WP) WP 21/2010 - 5/7/2010 William Chislett The Greek- and Turkish-Cypriot leaders have resumed negotiations to reunify Cyprus, which has been divided for more than three decades along ethnic lines. But progress is still very slow and the partition option is gaining credence.
Jihadism in Portugal: Grasping a Nebulous Reality (ARI) ARI 113/2010 - 1/7/2010 Diogo Noivo Although for the most part inconclusive, signs of possible Jihadist activity in Portugal suggest certain similarities with the risks present throughout Europe.
Back to Earth: Nuclear Weapons in the 2010s (ARI) ARI 110/2010 - 25/6/2010 Bruno Tertrais Throughout 2009 it seemed that both nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament were going to make real, fast and lasting progress. Unfortunately, reality bit back and 2010 has shown scant progress in disarmament and not much success in non-proliferation.