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ARI (Analisis of the Real Instituto Elcano) : Asia-Pacific
North Korea and the December 2012 Rocket Launch: A New Deal? Expert Comment 39/2012 - 14/12/2012 Pablo Bustelo On December 12 North Korea succeeded in putting into orbit a satellite (or other object) after the three stages of the Unha-3 rocket separated as planned. Contrary to the previous attempts, the launch was successful, the three-stage rocket functioned correctly and the satellite (or other object) now appears to be now orbiting the earth.
The European Union and the Emerging Asian Powers of China and India ARI 78/2012 - 19/11/2012 Rajendra K. Jain The rise of China and the emergence of India pose intellectual, technological, organisational and political challenges for the European Union and for the West in general, but also provide opportunities.
India’s New Foreign Policy ARI 65/2012 - 17/10/2012 C. Raja Mohan India’s foreign policy in the 21st century will remain rooted in core values, but Delhi must necessarily adapt to changing external circumstances and shifting domestic needs.
Are North Korea’s Missile Threats Credible? Expert Comment 28/2012 - 15/10/2012 Pablo Bustelo Despite continuous efforts by the international community to achieve the denuclearisation of the Korean peninsula, time is passing and working against this goal.
Difficult policy choices in China’s slowing economy Expert Comment 16/2012 - 5/9/2012 Pablo Bustelo
The Economic Crisis and the Emerging Powers: Towards a New International Order? 20/2/2012 Robin Niblett The real challenges to the existing international order will come not from the established or emerging powers, but from global forces that are beyond their control and also from those non-state entities and groups which seek to undermine the process of globalisation that links all states and societies ever closer together.
The Dilemmas of the Rise of China 7/2/2012 Sun Xuefeng Why are there such contrasting perceptions on China’s rise between the Chinese and the rest of the world? What dilemmas is China beginning to face in the context of these different perceptions about its rise? What ways out of these dilemmas has China been seeking?
Is the Eurozone crisis changing EU-China relations? (ARI) ARI 154/2011 - 22/11/2011 Alicia Sorroza The economic and financial crisis affecting Europe seems to be changing the map of the interests involved in the EU-China relationship.
US-Pakistan Relations in the Summer of 2011 (ARI) ARI 121/2011 - 20/7/2011 Dennis Kux This ARI discusses the current crisis in US-Pakistan relations and analyses the interaction between Washington and Islamabad since the events of 9/11.
Fukushima and the Future of Nuclear Energy in Japan: The Need for a Robust Social Contract (ARI) ARI 113-2011 - 29/6/2011 Haruko Satoh The Fukushima accident in March 2011 calls for the reassessment of the nuclear regime in Japan, especially as regards to public safety.
The Internationalisation of the Renminbi: Prospects and Risks (ARI) ARI 73/2011 - 18/4/2011 Miguel Otero-Iglesias By looking at how far China has gone in internationalising its currency, the Renminbi (RMB), it is possible to identify the main strategic goals that China wants to achieve through this process, along with the main risks that such an objective embodies.
Prospects for Burma After Aung San Suu Kyi’s Release (ARI) ARI 32/2011 - 11/2/2011 Michael W. Charney Aung San Suu Kyi’s release will have important implications for the country in 2011 and 2012.
China-Spain-Latin America Triangulation in a Chinese Perspective (ARI) ARI 4/2011 - 14/1/2011 Jiang Shixue This paper looks at the prospects for triangulation between China, Spain and Latin America in the wake of the Sinopec-Repsol deal in Brazil.
The Policy Challenge for Sub-Saharan Africa of Large-Scale Chinese FDI (ARI) ARI 169/2010 - 30/11/2010 Raphael Kaplinsky and Mike Morris The existence of large state-owned Chinese firms and private investors engaged in investing primarily, but not exclusively, in resource and infrastructure sectors in SSA (Sub-Saharan Africa) is a major preoccupation in economic and political circles. In order to understand it, Chinese investment has to be differentiated into four different types, and its distinctive characteristic unpacked –ie, the bundling together of aid, trade and FDI (foreign direct investment)–. This has major policy implications for how SSA should relate to Chinese investors in order to maximise available opportunities.
Is China doing enough to protect the environment? (ARI) ARI 141/2010 (Translated from Spanish) - 11/11/2010 Pablo Bustelo Following the recent worsening of problems linked to pollution, it is worth looking at the measures implemented so far by the Chinese government in order to safeguard the environment.
China in Ghana: Easing the Shift from Aid Dependency to Oil Economy? (ARI) ARI 149/2010 - 15/10/2010 Giles Mohan The author examines recent changes in the Ghanaian aid and investment landscape as China has stepped up its relations with this donor ‘darling’. Recent oil discoveries further transform the financing scenarios and more established donors are concerned about the riskiness of this. These tensions reveal wider differences in approaches to development and the desires of many African governments which could herald big changes in the ethos and practice of development.
The EU’s Global Governance Versus China’s Harmonious World (ARI) ARI 133/2010 - 10/9/2010 Wang Youming The EU’s ‘Global Governance’ and China’s ‘Harmonious World’ seem to be competing to be the dominant idea on international relations in the new century.
Prospects for North Korea-South Korea Relations after the Cheonan Incident (ARI) ARI 125/2010 - 28/7/2010 Choi Kang This ARI explores the situation in the Korean peninsula after the sinking of the Cheonan on 26 March 2010 and stresses the need for a new South Korean policy towards the North.
India’s Transition to Global Donor: Limitations and Prospects (ARI) ARI 123/2010 - 23/7/2010 Dweep Chanana India has increasingly sought to expand its activities as a donor, both to reposition itself as an emerging power and to use aid as an instrument for engaging with other developing countries. This ARI looks at the current state of India’s donor programme as regards both its size and scope, identifies India’s role within the multilateral aid scenario and evaluates the challenges and prospects for further growth.
Energy Security in Central Asia: Infrastructure and Risk (ARI) ARI 1/2010 (Translated from Spanish) - 19/4/2010 Félix Arteaga The energy infrastructures running through Central Asia face endogenous and exogenous structural risks that could affect supplies if they materialise and Central Asian countries fail to develop adequate protection mechanisms, either on their own or with outside help.
The EU and Natural Gas from Central Asia: Is Nabucco the Best Option? (ARI) ARI 102/2009 (Translated from Spanish) - 14/4/2010 Rafael Fernández This ARI looks at the advantages, difficulties and uncertainties concerning the Nabuccogas pipeline, the project to transport energy from a number of Central Asian countries to the EU.
Developing India’s Surface Transport Capability: The Case of Road Infrastructure (ARI) ARI 37/2010 - 25/2/2010 Rajeev Anantaram The Government of India is making concerted efforts to reduce transport bottlenecks, particularly on roads. This ARI discusses the new policy initiatives formulated as part of an evolving regulatory regime, particularly those intended to encourage greater private sector participation and foreign direct investment.
India’s African Engagement (ARI) ARI 10/2010 - 19/1/2010 Peter Kragelund The April 2008 India-Africa Forum Summit not only marked the zenith of India-African cooperation following intensified cultural, political and economic interactions between India and African countries, but also the increased competition with China over access to Africa’s resources and markets. The author reviews India’s development cooperation with African economies.
The Development of the Power Sector in India: Issues and Prospects (ARI) Rajeev Anantaram ARI 6/2010 - 18/1/2010 The power sector in India is projected to grow rapidly over the next two decades and to be increasingly open to private sector participation, both domestic and foreign.
The Momentum of Indonesia’s Economic Recovery (ARI) ARI 167/2009 - 15/12/2009 Fajar B. Hirawan It is clear that no single country can be immune from the global recession, including Indonesia. The impact on the latter has distorted some of its economic indicators, especially growth and trade. In line with the efforts made by its government to handle the crisis, Indonesia held elections, both legislative and presidential, in 2009. This ARI looks at the implications of the elections and the prospects for Indonesia’s economy after them.
North Korea and the Non-proliferation Regime (ARI) ARI 155/2009 - 16/11/2009 Mitchell B. Reiss In this review of the implications of North Korea’s behaviour during 2009 on the Non-proliferation Regime, it is stressed that if North Korea cannot be deterred from its nuclear ambitions this will deliver a serious blow to the international non-proliferation regime. It will also damage the likelihood of a successful outcome at next year’s NPT Review Conference.
The Global Economic Crisis and India: An Analysis (ARI) ARI 129/2009 - 10/9/2009 Pankaj Vashisht and Sriparna Pathak The unfolding global financial crisis comes in various forms and presents many challenges as well as opportunities, even though it is too early to predict any specific outcome. However, the fact remains that the international system and the concept of power as such is undergoing a shift. This has serious implications for the developing world. The financial crisis presents India in particular with several geopolitical implications.
North Korea and the New Security Paradigm (ARI) ARI 95/2009 - 4/6/2009 Mitchell B. Reiss A new crisis has emerged on the Korean peninsula as a result of North Korea’s latest nuclear tests.
The Impact of the Global Crisis on China and its Reaction (ARI) ARI 62/2009 - 14/4/2009 Ming Zhang The current global financial crisis is having a significant negative impact on the Chinese economy, affecting exports, foreign exchange reserves and structural adjustments.
New Prospects for the Spanish Language in the Philippines (ARI) ARI 27/2009 (Translated from Spanish) - 26/2/2009 Rafael Rodríguez-Ponga The announcement by the Philippine government concerning the reintroduction of Spanish in secondary education offers new prospects. The new situation deserves consideration from the perspective of individual rights.
Indo-Pakistani Relations After 26/11 (ARI) ARI 20/2009 - 3/2/2009 Bahukutumbi Raman The author examines the prospects for Indo-Pakistani relations after the 26-29 November 2008 terrorist attack in Mumbai.
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