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Geo-Economics in Central Asia and the ‘Great Game’ of Natural Resources: Water, Oil, Gas, Uranium and Transportation Corridors (WP) WP 59/2009 (Translated from Spanish) - 19/4/2010 Miguel Á. Pérez Martín This Working Paper describes and analyses Central Asia from the standpoint of geo-economics, focusing especially on key questions in the region such as water, logistics, the direction of trade flows, hydrocarbons (oil and gas) and uranium. Its purpose is to estimate the involvement of the great powers and multinational companies in connection with these issues, assessing which countries or companies have the greatest presence or influence and showing how some of these players, especially Russia, play a dominant role in what some analysts have called the new ‘Great Game’.
Energy Security with a High External Dependence: The Strategies of Japan and South Korea (WP) WP 16/2008 (Translated from Spanish) - 14/4/2008 Pablo Bustelo Apart from China, there are two other large energy consumers in North-East Asia: Japan and South Korea. This Working Paper briefly addresses the position and energy forecasts for the two countries. It proceeds to analyse the strategic responses of Tokyo and Seoul to the deterioration (whether perceived or real) of their energy security, highlighting the strengths and weaknesses of each approach. Finally, the paper details some of the lessons that other countries which are highly dependent on energy imports might learn from the experience of Japan and South Korea.
Central Asia in the EU’s Ever-changing Geo-strategic Horizon (WP) WP 29/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 3/10/2007 Augusto Soto This working paper aims to examine, whether it is possible to inscribe the EU’s relationship with Central Asia within the framework of short-term energy security or in the likelihood of an increase in energy interconnections in the long term. It also seeks to explore from the perspective of the second option the possible relations of the EU with Kazakhstan.
The Economic Rise of China and India and its Implications for Spain (WP) WP 31/2007 (Translated from Spanish) - 8/8/2007 Pablo Bustelo This paper deals, first, with the general shape of the economic boom in China and India in recent decades. It also examines the medium-term outlook for these countries, highlighting their strengths and weaknesses in terms of sustained economic development. Finally, the article briefly lists some of the possible implications of the rise of China and India, both now and in the future, for the Spanish economy.
Fire-Breathing Dragons: Asia and the Challenge of Energy Security (WP) WP 17/2006 - 4/09/2006 Paul Isbell Energy issues have recently moved to centre stage on the world arena. Oil and gas prices increased significantly during 2003 and 2004, and continued to do so throughout 2005 and 2006. Related to these price trends has been the emergence of Asia within the world economy and on the global energy scene. Fast-rising Asian demand for oil and gas has been responsible for much of the upward pressure on international prices during the past years
Asia: Ground Zero for the Next Pandemic? (WP) WP 6/2006 - 27/04/2006 Soeren Kern and Rickard Sandell This paper assesses the potential threat of pandemic influenza and the measures adopted for its prevention. The authors conclude by pointing out that even if avian influenza does not cause a human influenza pandemic, it is probably time to invest more resources in Asian (and African) countries if our aim is to prevent such pandemics from emerging in the future
China and the Geopolitics of Oil in the Asian Pacific Region WP38-2005 - 5.9.2005 (Translated from Spanish) Pablo Bustelo China’s growing demand for oil is significantly changing international energy geopolitics, especially in the Asia Pacific region. The recent growth in oil consumption, combined with forecasts of increased oil imports (especially from the Middle East), have led to deep concern among Chinese leaders regarding their country’s energy security. They are responding in a number of different ways. In particular, they are determined to increase the security and reliability of oil imports by searching for new sources of supply, and to control purchases and transport routes, while boosting national production at any cost. This is already causing tension and could lead to further disputes with the US and other big oil consumers, such as Japan and India, as well as with other Asia Pacific countries. However, enhanced cooperation among the big East Asian economies (China, Japan and South Korea) is also a possibility.
The Geopolitics of Oil in Euroasia WP4-2004 - 14.1.2004 Robert E. Ebel In today’s context, national security and energy security are so closely intertwined that it is inconceivable to consider them as separate issues. Energy-importing governments seek energy security –or security of supply– through the diversity of supply and the diversity of fuels consumed. Any oil- or gas-importing nation has limited choices when it comes to energy security. The United States imports oil from some 60 different suppliers, although this diversity is misleading, for it masks the importance of the Persian Gulf. Although a full substitute has yet to be found, and may never be, supplies from Russia and from the Caspian Sea are becoming increasingly important
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