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A New Composite Global Terrorism Threat to Western Societies from Pakistan? Making Sense of the January 2008 Suicide Bomb Plot in Barcelona (WP) WP 28/2010 - 2/8/2010 Fernando Reinares The actors behind the past twarthed attacks in the Spanish city denoted an intriguing combination which, indicative of the operational limitations faced by Al Qaeda and early manifestation of the Punjabi Taliban network, reflected an evolving terrorism threat to the West related with Pakistan.
Jihadism in Portugal: Grasping a Nebulous Reality (ARI) ARI 113/2010 - 1/7/2010 Diogo Noivo Although for the most part inconclusive, signs of possible Jihadist activity in Portugal suggest certain similarities with the risks present throughout Europe.
Al-Qaeda and Afghanistan in Strategic Context: Counterinsurgency versus Counterterrorism (WP) WP 15/2010 - 17/5/2010 Sebastian L. v. Gorka This paper discusses how the US failed to adequately identify the nature of the conflict it was embarking upon in response to the 9/11 attacks, our flawed understanding of the enemy and the fact that today we are just beginning to appreciate the central role of religious ideology in this war. Should we continue to misunderstand these three realities of the post-9/11 world, success in Afghanistan and Pakistan will not be achievable.
Preparations for the 2010 FIFA World Cup: Vulnerability and Threat of Terrorism (WP) WP 14/2010 - 16/4/2010 Anneli Botha This working paper will provide an overview of the threats of terrorism associated with hosting a prominent sport event, while placing potential threats in context in South Africa; and an overview of preparations for the FIFA World Cup. Its aim is not to discourage visitors to come to South Africa, but rather to place the potential threat of terrorism in context.
Radicalisation in the Diaspora: Why Muslims in the West Attack Their Host Countries (WP) WP 9/2010 - 15/3/2010 Peter K. Waldmann While we now have a solid database on the processes of radicalisation of Muslims in the West, what we still lack is a theoretical framework that links the different pieces of empirical knowledge together. This working paper suggests that the diaspora concept could provide such a framework.
The Homegrown Terrorist Threat to the US Homeland (ARI) ARI 171/2009 - 18/12/2009 Lorenzo Vidino Radicalisation into violence affects some small segments of the American Muslim population and recent events show that a threat from homegrown terrorism of jihadist inspiration does exist in the US.
Countering Terrorism and Building Cooperation in North Africa: The Potential Significance of the UN Global Counter-Terrorism Strategy (ARI) ARI 162/2009 - 1/12/2009 Eric Rosand The UN Strategy for North Africa can contribute to a recalibration of counterterrorism efforts in the region and to a stronger cooperation among regional stakeholders and between the region and external partners such as the EU, the UN and the US.
Road to Salvation? The Military Offensive in South Waziristan and the Pakistani Nexus of Global Terrorism (ARI) ARI 147/2009 (Translated from Spanish) - 17/11/2009 Fernando Reinares The authorities in Pakistan have launched a military offensive in South Waziristan in an effort to neutralise the threat that Therik e Taliban Pakistan and al-Qaeda and its affiliated groups pose for the political stability and social cohesion of a country that has nuclear weapons. But the terrorism nexus that these groups represent is more complicated than appears at first glance, and confronting the challenge that these extremists pose means the army’s intervention must be complemented with other kinds of measures on the part of the government.
CONTEST (2009): An Evaluation of Revisions to the UK Counter-Terrorism Strategy with a Special Focus on the CBRNE Threat (ARI) ARI 130/2009 - 11/9/2009 Frank Gregory A much expanded version of the UK’s counter-terrorism strategy, CONTEST (based around the four CT objectives of: Pursue, Prevent, Protect and Prepare), was published in March 2009.
Closing Remarks by Mr. Jiri Šedivý 23/7/2009 Jiri Šedivý Closing remarks by Ambassador Jiri Šedivý, NATO Assistant Secretary General for Defence Policy and Planning, at the Seminar ‘Civil Society Civil Society Facing the Consequences of Terrorism: Victims of Terrorism, Civil Liberties and Human Rights’ organised by the Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Cooperation, the Embassy of Switzerland and the Elcano Royal Institute, and held in Madrid from 15 to 16 June 2009.
International Terrorism and the Rule of Law 24/6/2009 Hisashi Owada Keynote speech by the President of the International Court of Justice Hisashi Owada at the Seminar ‘Civil Society Civil Society Facing the Consequences of Terrorism: Victims of Terrorism, Civil Liberties and Human Rights’ organised by the Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Cooperation, the Embassy of Switzerland and and the Elcano Royal Institute and held in Madrid from 15 to 16 June 2009.
Civil Society Facing the Consequences of Terrorism: Victims of Terrorism, Civil Liberties and Human Rights (Translated from Spanish) - 16/6/2009 Enrique Múgica Herzog Speech by the Spanish Ombudsman Enrique Múgica Herzog at the Seminar ‘Civil Society Civil Society Facing the Consequences of Terrorism: Victims of Terrorism, Civil Liberties and Human Rights’ organised by the Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Cooperation, the Embassy of Switzerland and the Elcano Royal Institute and held in Madrid from 15 to 16 June 2009.
Al-Qaeda Terrorism and Islamist Extremism in East Africa (ARI) ARI 96/2009 - 5/6/2009 Ángel Rabasa Chaos in Somalia has created opportunities that have been exploited by radical groups with links to al-Qaeda.
Global Terrorism: A Polymorphous Phenomenon (ARI) ARI 65/2009 - 21/4/2009 Fernando Reinares This ARI describes and analyses the various components observed in the current web of global terrorism. The risks and threats that terrorism related directly or indirectly to al-Qaeda pose for a given country or region of the world depend on how the various components eventually combine.
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